Simple question

That's far from a simple question. There is just to many economic factors to figure as well as what the 430 replacement will be. I'd say they will more than likely it will follow the pricing of the 360.

 

The 360 may give a clue. Many 360's sold for way over MSRP just like the 430. "Low" mileage (under 5,000 miles after 5-6 years) cars sell for around $50,000 less than original MSRP. If the 430 MSRP was $215,000 and we paid $265,000, and all thngs were equal to what has happened with the 360, I would guess around $150-160,000 (given the "market" price this represents a reduction of about $100,000). There is always the spider vs coupe cost differences, and color. Who knows what kind of hit you would take with a 35,000 mile (5-6 year old) Ferrari? Admittadly, I have no idea but found my old Ouji Board in the closet.Best

 

6 years ago my 360 coupe sold new for 185,000 on a 145,000 list.
I paid 121,0000 for it with 65oo miles on it. So maybe a 430 sells for 150k or so in 6 years with less than 10000 miles. 25 or 30k miles would take another 30k off the price. Rachet up all these numbers for a spider. A miley Ferrari is a tough sell unless it is cheap. Too many really low miles cars around. If it collected a story along the way it would be even cheaper. You would probably be better off to sell you car as it approaches 10k miles and buy another one with very low miles.

 

MSRP on the car is probably around 198K or so now. Ferrari ownership is not cheap, just fun. You could probably do what you want to do with a porsche but not a Ferrari.

 

Agreed

I would add. Some time ago I decided that buying a "home" or a car is not an "investment". Altought houses usually appreciate, where I live and how I live is more important that its appreciation. With rare exception, cars do not appreciate and more often than not a pretty big hit is taken when selling.

My rule #1 - If you cannot afford to enjoy it - don't buy it.
Best

 

Real data: my '01 360 F1 Spider with 32000 miles which I traded for a 430 Spider was sold by my dealer early this year for around 130K

 

There are just too many ultra low mile cars around and people who can come up with say 130K for one with relatively high miles can almost always afford 150K for a very low mileage, like new car and that's the way they invariably go. Oddly enough, the higher mileage cars are probably better buys at the 5-6 year old point, especially for someone who plans to drive a lot.

I have been putting miles on my own 430 at about 4500/year rate (7900 so far). I was fortunate to pay MSRP and could still make a small profit, however, if I keep it 5-6 years with 25K on it, it will be a hit. If I consider that I could have gotten a 40K profit the day it arrived as opposed to a 40K hit in 5-6 years, it looks bad. But I don't think that on my death bed I will be regretting not taking the profit and running. BTW, 230K for the car you describe sounds a bit rich to me in the first place.

Dave