Price Drop. Keep or sell. | FerrariChat

Price Drop. Keep or sell.

Discussion in '612/599' started by speed racer, Jul 15, 2008.

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  1. speed racer

    speed racer Formula 3

    Feb 16, 2008
    1,462
    Burr Ridge IL.
    Full Name:
    PJ
    CAS has started listing prices on current models on their website again. They have two 2007 599's on the floor. Original resale price was $430K. Todays price $399K. One manual and one F1. Same price for each. The manual has 1500 miles and painted Silverstone with Saddle interior. The F1 has 1470 miles and is Rosso &Tan. They also have a 2007 F430 Spider . 1300 miles asking 299,900K. Silverstone and Red interior. Don't know what they were originally asking for that one. I figure that the first owners from this point on will be lucky to get what they paid MSRP. Prices are only going to go down from here. My 599 year end comes up end of August. Bad timing. Haven't decided to keep it or trade to a 430S. Keep the 430 as a hold until hopefully get on the list for a 599 Spider. If not, sell the 430 and buy a GTB back at a lower price.The 599 price drop should not be as bad as on the 430S going forward since the 430 is being discontinued in 2010. Plus MSRP on current 599 production is around 420K which is sold out. Creates a more stable resale price on 07's making them a good buy in comparison. If there are any buyers out there in todays market. Tough choices coming up. Don't even know if my dealer wants a 599 at this point. He is already carrying a lot of iron in inventory. Guess I'll find out soon enough. If he quotes me a real low buy back number I'll either keep it for the long term hoping for a 599S on trade or possibly shop it around and buy from another source. I'm hoping that even if he low balls me on the 599 buyback he will be more generous on the selling price of the 430. But I think I know better. I'll get screwed on the sale, the buy and then the eventual trade for a 599S. If i keep it I will lose money but not a lot in the short term because of the high MSRP on current production runs. If I sell or trade it I will lose money on both ends because I am selling a depreciating asset and buying a discontinued model in a bad economy. My only other option would be to sell the 599 and buy an older model probably a 575 since they have already depreciated significantly. Less money spent on the buy and I've always loved its lines.The only benefit I see going forward is that I get to enjoy my baby thru the summer and I paid MSRP. I know I am going to get crucified for talking like an accountant. But I know there are other owners that have already made their decisions or are facing the same choices in the months ahead. We are definately living in interesting times. Any thoughts?
     
  2. fenzoman

    fenzoman Karting
    BANNED

    Jun 19, 2008
    194
    You've answered all of your own questions. Dealers are not generous. They are also more afraid of this recession than someone who owns a few cars. The recession together with the dollar's sorry state does not leave US dealers counting on a rosy few years, the ones able to keep their doors open that is. Do what you need to. If you like slightly used models you'll have your pick in the next 2 years.
     
  3. absent

    absent F1 Veteran
    Lifetime Rossa

    Nov 2, 2003
    8,810
    illinois
    Full Name:
    mark k.
    Seems you put a lot of thought in this whole process.
    I am a bit embarrassed to admit that I did not spend a second on it,just pre traded 599 for 430S with no regard to numbers or thought of better or worse resale on this or another.
    If I lose or make money on these cars is irrelevant,all I want at this point is a Scuderia in my garage,especially after driving the thing in Canada when it totally blew my mind.
    Sort of like that guy who completely loses his mind over a piece of ass and dumps his wife and his entire life in the process.
     
  4. azew

    azew Formula Junior

    Jul 4, 2006
    463
    New York
    Well said. And don't be embarrassed at all - life is too short - if you can do it - but it NOW - every minute spend driving a Ferrari is awesome - every moment thinking about it without doing it is a waste.....
     
  5. JazzyO

    JazzyO F1 World Champ

    Jan 14, 2007
    12,156
    The Netherlands
    Full Name:
    Onno
    I don't agree. V12's have a notoriously bad habit of dropping like a stone and special model V8's don't. The discontinuation of the 360 Modena didn't hurt the Challenge Stradale's value at all.


    Onno
     
  6. 285ferrari

    285ferrari Two Time F1 World Champ
    Sponsor

    Sep 11, 2004
    20,958
    MD and NE
    Full Name:
    Robbie
    +1---the 430S will not drop for a long while--While every 599 and 612 will start to plumment in a few years..
     
  7. The Ape

    The Ape Formula 3

    Feb 28, 2007
    1,793
    Los Angeles
    Full Name:
    Ape
    Very true.
     
  8. bobbyd

    bobbyd Formula Junior

    Nov 17, 2003
    722
    +3. The 599 is a regular production model, which even for a v12 Ferrari means significant overall number of cars over a production run of many years. This results in depreciation. The CS and Scuderia, however, are models w/ a limited production extending over 18 mos. or so, hence the smaller overall number of cars. Moreover, there is a 4 year hiatus between the CS and Scud production, and presumably there will be another 4 year or so wait for the next super sporty street legal mid-engined Ferrari after the Scud run is done. All that increases the likelihood that a Scud will retain much better long term value than a 599. Remember this, in 1999 it was impossible to walk into any USA authorized Ferrari dealer and purschase a new 550 Maranello off the show room floor - they were all pre-sold to established customers. Used 550's in 1999 were still selling for $25K to $50K over MSRP. Soon after the depreciation started and now they are worth 35 to 50% of MSRP. I predict the same for the 599.
     
  9. TimF40

    TimF40 Formula 3

    Nov 3, 2003
    1,035
    Seattle/Bay Area/NYC
    Full Name:
    Tim
    My '99 550's 2nd owner bought it for 40 over (it was a flipped car with delivery miles). I bought it for $109 in '05, a little over 5 years from original sale. Count me in if the 599s follow the pattern. I just would not pay over for the 599 when it was offered to me a while back. I'll wait and enjoy my other f-cars in the meantime... :)

    Tim
     
  10. mjw599

    mjw599 Formula Junior
    BANNED

    Jul 30, 2008
    510
    A Chinese Democracy
    Right on ab.


    Speed racer,
    if you must put that much thought into it and only focused on the financial end then you're over-extended.
    Get out of the Fcar and trade your residual for a Yaris
     
  11. Sfumato

    Sfumato F1 World Champ

    Nov 1, 2003
    10,194
    Llanfairpwllgwyngyll, Anglesey, Wales
    Full Name:
    Angus Podgorney
    MSRP for a 599 isn't 420. Reasonably equipped car is 350 range new. If you're not on Scud list now, you're dreaming if you want one for MSRP. If you bought 599 to make money, you're nuts. Great car, and they won't make any more profligate cars like this in future, an end of an era. May lose value, but not going to "drop like stone" like 612/Maranello. Sell it now, but you're deluded if you think itll be <300 even if economy continues to tank. 20 mil, 10 mil, WFC., only money. You can't afford it, shouldn't play in first place. Not harsh, just owned them for 30 years.
     
  12. Bullfighter

    Bullfighter Two Time F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa Owner

    Jan 26, 2005
    22,594
    Gates Mills, Ohio
    Full Name:
    Jon
    #12 Bullfighter, Aug 1, 2008
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2008
    Agree with this. I'm probably not in your tax bracket, if you're paying cash for all these cars, but IMHO the depreciation on these modern mass-produced Ferraris (especially the V12s) is insane. I think the 575M is a stupendous car, available CPO, and you won't be losing six figures on depreciation. Also, to my eyes, it looks much better.

    I hate buying new cars in general, though. Always feels like I'm taking it in the, er -- that is, on the chin.

    Then there's the fly in the ointment -- the California will probably be the "it" Ferrari for a few years, which could make the older-style 430 and 599 less saleable. Whatever your opinion of the car, 5,000 of them are going to have some effect.
     
  13. speed racer

    speed racer Formula 3

    Feb 16, 2008
    1,462
    Burr Ridge IL.
    Full Name:
    PJ
    First time this thread was posted I got off easy. I was expecting a lot of tough love on my accounting/money theme. Didn't get the heat I was expecting. After being resurrected the second time I got the type of response I expect to get when I stick my nose out in this forum. Both Bullfighter and Sfumato make my arguement much better than I did. Nobody wants to take it on the chin regarding depreciation. All of us here have worked hard for the money that enables us afford our cars and our passion. Costs in maintance and depreciation come with the territory. It's not a matter if I can afford my car, I can. Its more a matter of why should I allow myself to be taken advantage of on a grand scale. I never bought my car as an investment or expected to make money on it. I also expected in time that my car like all others would depreciate in value. The question becomes how fast, how much and am I comfortable with that. BTW &IMO the Cali is a great marketing tool but will never be considered anything more than a forgetable footnote.
    I also agree that the 599 is probably going to be the last of its kind, an end of an era. I also no longer believe that it's value will drop like a stone. I've decided I am prepared to take the risk. Someday the 599 will be considered a classic Ferrari . I am lucky enough to own and enjoy one today. Its such an incredable car and such a privlage to own and drive. I plan on keeping her for a long time to come. Appreciate everyones comments. Someday I may be fortuanate enough to add a 575M to my garage. I believe the 575 is greatly underappreciated and a true classic in its own right.
     
  14. Townshend

    Townshend F1 Veteran
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    Jul 20, 2005
    6,677
    Chicago
    Full Name:
    Walter
    Did you go to the driving experience?
     
  15. Pcar928fan

    Pcar928fan Formula 3

    Jan 21, 2008
    1,702
    Austin, TX
    I look at the prices that are being asked for 599's still today and I am just STUNNED that ANYONE is paying the listed prices for these cars. We are talking cars with stickers (especially the earliest cars) that were well below $325k and places still want over $400k for that! To me that is just insane... I guess if you have the money and want the car bad enough you will pay whatever it takes!

    J
     
  16. ammoman

    ammoman Formula 3

    Feb 16, 2008
    2,032
    WINDERMERE FLORIDA
    Full Name:
    ERIC
    Actually i am starting to see them in the 369 range.
    Eric





     
  17. absent

    absent F1 Veteran
    Lifetime Rossa

    Nov 2, 2003
    8,810
    illinois
    Full Name:
    mark k.
    Went in May and going back at end of August for Advanced.
    My car is coming late October so I take every opportunity to get my hands on one(even if for couple days).
     
  18. Townshend

    Townshend F1 Veteran
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    Jul 20, 2005
    6,677
    Chicago
    Full Name:
    Walter
    Doesn't hurt to have Sabrina there either ;)

    Late October...just enough time to get a tease by the car before it's stored for winter :( Let me know how the advanced course goes.
     
  19. absent

    absent F1 Veteran
    Lifetime Rossa

    Nov 2, 2003
    8,810
    illinois
    Full Name:
    mark k.
    Car will not go into storage and ,like the 599 before,will be driven throughout the Winter on all days when the roads are clear of snow.
     
  20. lambolover24

    lambolover24 Rookie

    Apr 8, 2008
    9
    Full Name:
    ....
    def a buyer's market right now, not good time to sell
     
  21. Bullfighter

    Bullfighter Two Time F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa Owner

    Jan 26, 2005
    22,594
    Gates Mills, Ohio
    Full Name:
    Jon
    Yes, they seem to be attainable at that -- Motorcars Int'l had one with an asking price near there last week. Still above sticker, though.

    Longer term, the car lacks the wretched excess/rarity of the Enzo to sustain it as a collectible. It may have 15-20 years of depreciation coming up, like all Ferrari tourers

    Monetarily, the F512M looks appealing as something that might hold value.
     

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