The Canadian Economy. | Page 2 | FerrariChat

The Canadian Economy.

Discussion in 'Canada' started by ClassicFerrari, Dec 4, 2008.

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  1. wrs46

    wrs46 Formula 3

    May 19, 2005
    1,395
    QC, CANADA (&CH, &F)
    Full Name:
    Walter
    Where do you keep your money...in Brasil? And do you think that it will be "safer" wherever else you keep it, given the fact that the current instability is quasi global?
     
  2. gerritv

    gerritv Formula 3

    Jun 18, 2001
    1,400
    St Catharines
    Full Name:
    Gerrit
    I'm sure your money is soooo much better off in the exited states.
     
  3. robbreid

    robbreid Karting

    Feb 25, 2007
    167
    I'm sure the depth of this post will be lost on most people, however they'll soon come to experience the depth in the near future!!!
     
  4. Jameel

    Jameel Formula Junior

    Nov 4, 2003
    401
    Canada
    I'm not trying to stir the pot or anything, but if you can afford 4 or 5 Tim Horton's Franchise's (cash) you can easily afford a Ferrari F360 or an F430.
     
  5. sfm

    sfm Karting

    Oct 21, 2006
    58
    Ontario, Canada
    Full Name:
    Sean
    #30 sfm, Dec 12, 2008
    Last edited: Dec 12, 2008
    I don't see the relevance of whether I can afford a F430 or not? But, to answer your question yes I could afford to buy a new Ferrari (cash) right now. However, that would not help me or my family in the long run. I'll invest my cash into another business. Once this is done I may indulge in a Ferrari at the appropriate time. In the meantime I will enjoy my BMW 650 cab and two Range Rovers.

    As I type this the News is reporting on the ailing auto industry. I think we were actually lucky to get out when we did. I don't know if other OEM suppliers will be as successful in getting paid by the Detroit 3 as we were. There are going to be extended Christmas shut downs at GM, Ford, Chrysler and this will cripple many suppliers.
     
  6. ClassicFerrari

    ClassicFerrari F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa

    Jan 7, 2004
    16,798
    Toronto
    Full Name:
    Vasco
    It's called priorities.
     
  7. sfm

    sfm Karting

    Oct 21, 2006
    58
    Ontario, Canada
    Full Name:
    Sean
    Exactly!
     
  8. Kds

    Kds F1 World Champ

    #33 Kds, Dec 14, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
    http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2008/12/03/the-bank-of-canada-s-mystery-assets.aspx

    Here's an interesting article and graph with more detail about the Bank of Canada and their "mystery assets".........

    Regarding Timmies......I have two clients that own franchises.......one has 2 stores and the other has 1 store....both live in the richest part of Calgary RE wise and are pretty well off. Thing is, I believe, and it is as they told me, that location matters the most.

    wrs46........you have a PM.
    Image Unavailable, Please Login
     
  9. Kds

    Kds F1 World Champ

  10. Kds

    Kds F1 World Champ

    #35 Kds, Dec 14, 2008
    Last edited: Dec 14, 2008
    http://housingdoom.com/2008/12/14/canadian-abcp-pyramid-built-pointy-end-down/#more-1883

    http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=1071224&p=1

    The Canadian ABCP market is still frozen and the agreement is in jeopardy unless the Bank of Canada pumps $9.5 billion into it.......watch for another jump in the "mystery assets" of the Bank of Canada.........more worthless toilet paper. You can't wipe your azz with a loonie though......but a fistfull of 50's and 100's will work just fine.

    Get your money out of Canadian banks now, and out of the country before the government imposes restrictions on bank withdrawls and international transfers. Don't think it will happen ???......read your history and start with South Africa.

    Oh yeah.......buy guns and ammo......works ever time. See Greece and Spain for reference.

    Next week......I am buying a safe for what is left here. The only money in the bank will be what is needed for pre-authorized transactions.......such as rent, bills, etc.
     
  11. ClassicFerrari

    ClassicFerrari F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa

    Jan 7, 2004
    16,798
    Toronto
    Full Name:
    Vasco
    Keith, are you typing this from a bunker as we speak? :D
     
  12. Kds

    Kds F1 World Champ

    #37 Kds, Dec 14, 2008
    Last edited: Dec 14, 2008
    Sort of........the apartment we live in is a super high security building........reminds me of the security on an air force base I once visited. I cannot go anywhere except my assigned floor........the electronic fob won't let me enter any unauthorized place. We have cameras everywhere and these electronic doors. And a 24 hour on-site security team.

    The only thing missing is an armed doorman......but we've got that in Rio.
     
  13. ffeverd

    ffeverd F1 Rookie

    Jan 24, 2005
    2,944
    Vancouver, Canada
    Sounds like you are in a serious car business.
     
  14. Kds

    Kds F1 World Champ

    I quit the car business 3 months ago.........currently looking for work.
     
  15. tmangani

    tmangani Rookie

    Jul 23, 2006
    26
    Hamilton, Canada
    Full Name:
    Tony
    If you have cash available and want to put your money into Real Estate, the best bet right now seems to be Apartment buildings. They have always been solid investments as long as buyers do their homework and buy quality buildings. Multi-family real estate is the only class of commercial real estate that has CMHC insured mortgages available. I just closed a large deal last week and the final rate on the mortgage was 4.09% with an 80% LTV ratio. You simply cant get this for an Industrial or Office property. The banks are quoting a 300 to 350 basis point spread on conventional financing which puts the rate at almost 7% and you would be lucky to achieve 60% LTV.

    The upsides to owning apartments are:

    - There not building any more large rental apartment buildings. Since rent control was introduced in Ontario (not sure about the western provinces), it pretty much killed the large scale multi-housing construction business. Demand has been increasing with more immigrants coming to major centres and the older population that are selling their homes and downsizing but don't want to pay condo fees, taxes, etc.

    - Apartment buildings actually do better during times of economic turmoil. People always need a place to live.

    - Cap rates are rising again after years of compression so prices are dropping.

    - Condominum converison potential for most properties provide an alternative exit strategy.

    Downsides:

    - Rent Control in Ontario, this will never go away, but much worse in Quebec.

    - Management Intensive. Think of the biggest pain in the ass and multiply by 2.

    - Capital expenditures, in Ontario most of the buildings are older and require more money to maintain.


    If you're unsure about going back into the stock markets, it may be a safer alternative for the next while.
     
  16. Jay GT4

    Jay GT4 F1 Rookie

    Oct 16, 2001
    4,995
    La mamma dei fessi
    Full Name:
    e sempre incinta
    I agree Tony. Most of my business now is from rental apartments.
     
  17. wrs46

    wrs46 Formula 3

    May 19, 2005
    1,395
    QC, CANADA (&CH, &F)
    Full Name:
    Walter
    All we need now is another referendum in Quebec and house prices will drop by the same percentage here as in the rest of "wealthy" Canada.

    I have given up on selling my "spare" home (former residence that I put up for sale AFTER purchasing the new one) and plan instead to rent it out until prices stabilise again. Have to check first if/how this affects my capital gains tax exemption, though...
     
  18. Waldoonay

    Waldoonay Formula Junior

    Mar 5, 2007
    630
    Ottawa/Abu Dhabi
    Full Name:
    Walid Z
    Jay, quick question if you don't mind answering. Do you know if this is similar in Ottawa? We've got a place we want to put on the market in the next few months and someone told me Renting it out could also be an option. Any idea on whether or not it's feasible. The way I see it, not a lot of people want to get a mortgage in these times, especially with the media doing what it's doing.
     
  19. Jay GT4

    Jay GT4 F1 Rookie

    Oct 16, 2001
    4,995
    La mamma dei fessi
    Full Name:
    e sempre incinta
    Never worked in Ottawa sorry. I can only speak for the Greater Toronto Area.
     
  20. jamie140

    jamie140 F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    Oct 17, 2004
    3,291
    GTA/Marco Island, fl
    Full Name:
    Jamie
    My Canada doesn't include those idiots. Methinks the rest of Canada would love to bid 'adios' to those spoiled brats.
     
  21. wrs46

    wrs46 Formula 3

    May 19, 2005
    1,395
    QC, CANADA (&CH, &F)
    Full Name:
    Walter
    Who exactly are you referring to?
     
  22. jamie140

    jamie140 F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    Oct 17, 2004
    3,291
    GTA/Marco Island, fl
    Full Name:
    Jamie
    Separatists.
     
  23. ClassicFerrari

    ClassicFerrari F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa

    Jan 7, 2004
    16,798
    Toronto
    Full Name:
    Vasco
    Soon may be a good time to pick up one of these babies in T.O

    http://www.yourhome.ca/homes/article/554394

    _____________________________>

    Toronto's condo boom is heading for a bust
    As new buildings rise and market falters, economist sees trouble
    December 16, 2008

    Comments on this story (4)

    Tony Wong


    BUSINESS REPORTER


    A prominent Toronto housing economist is warning of an impending chill in the city's overheated condominium market.

    The record number of units set for completion in 2009 and beyond will drive down housing prices and cause vacancy rates to go up as some condos sit empty.

    By the end of September, there were 33,919 condos under construction in the Toronto metropolitan area – more than three times the city's annual average – said economist Will Dunning in a report on the rental and condo markets.

    "This very large pending inventory is setting the stage for a substantial correction," Dunning said in an interview yesterday.

    The warning comes on the heels of figures yesterday showing sales of existing homes in Canada continued to slide in the year's fourth quarter. Declines were steep amid the lowest level of monthly activity in almost eight years as investors worry about the faltering Canadian economy.

    "In the short term, condos are the most vulnerable aspect of the market," said CIBC World Markets senior economist Benjamin Tal. "I think there is a lot of oversupply, especially in cities such as Toronto and Vancouver."

    Already, some prominent developers have warned some condo projects being marketed may not make it to completion. In a tight credit market, as falling sales hit the new home market, speculators and investors take cover.

    Toronto condominium starts are normally in the 10,000 to 12,000 range annually, but a bottleneck in construction from record sales in prior years has a significant number of units still to be completed, Dunning said.

    Many of those units were bought by finicky investors who are quick to exit the market if they don't get the returns they expected. Analysts say 30 per cent to 50 per cent of sales in certain buildings were to such investors, with some already set to exit the market.

    As a result, the number of condos listed for sale in central Toronto is already up a stunning 75 per cent in November from those on sale a year earlier, according to Dunning.

    "It appears that this process – excess supply in the condo sector and owners acting to sell the units – may be underway already."

    The large supply of condos will affect the apartment rental market, Dunning said, as units now under construction become available for occupancy; in effect, "With the weaker economy, the supply will exceed the need."

    The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation reported last week the vacancy rate in the Toronto area fell sharply to 2 per cent from 3.2 per cent a year earlier, but Dunning said the supply of new condos in the coming year will keep rates from dropping further, and will likely cause vacancy rates to rise.

    So far there haven't been any catastrophic failures in the Toronto area, although one key project, MintoUrban Communities Inc.'s 300-unit Minto King West site, is on hold because of slow sales.

    The developer is expected to break the project into two smaller buildings.

    First-time buyer Janet Chang, 26, said she decided to hold off on buying a condo in downtown Toronto this year because of the uncertain economy.

    "It's tough having to live with your parents for another year, but the last thing you want to is to lose your equity in a condo," said Chang, an accountant.

    Before the advent of the economic meltdown in the United States at the beginning of the fourth quarter, new condo prices in the Toronto area were holding up well.

    Prices for new condos in the third quarter were up by 2.5 per cent over the prior quarter, or about $406 per square foot, according to market research firm Urbanation. Since then, many developers have slashed prices off their suites and added incentives such as free televisions and even a new car over the past few months.

    In 2006 the average condo price in Toronto was $239,816.

    Meanwhile, there was more dismal news for the national real estate market as seasonally adjusted sales for November numbered 27,743 units, according to figures released by the Canadian Real Estate Association.

    Sales were down 12.3 per cent on a seasonally adjusted month over month basis, and a far steeper 42 per cent unadjusted compared with November 2007.

    The national average price of a home was down 9.8 per cent to $280,880, or more than $30,000 less than a year ago.

    "The report underscores that the Canadian housing correction continued in earnest," said Millan Mulraine, economics strategist for TD Securities.

    British Columbia, Alberta and Ontario were the three provinces reflecting the greatest decreases, said the realtor association.

    "National sales activity and price trends will continue reflecting increased cautiousness on the part of lenders and buyers as the economy works its way through and out of the recession," said the real estate association's chief economist Gregory Klump.

    In cities such as Toronto, sales of existing homes plunged by 50 per cent in November, the biggest decline since April 1989 when sales dropped to 54 per cent.


    Toronto Star
    Comments on this story are moderated| Login to Comment Commenting Guidelines
    So, I want to hear those "positive" words again - "Canada is different", "People stand in queue for four days to book a condo", "Fundamentals of our economy are sound", "Our banks did a better job" "blah, blah, blah". Now you telling me half of them were investors (and it was a media hype). Thank Goodness, I held off buying into that hype!


    ______________________________>
     
  24. wrs46

    wrs46 Formula 3

    May 19, 2005
    1,395
    QC, CANADA (&CH, &F)
    Full Name:
    Walter
    Theyr' still a minority here (thank God), just nlike in Alberta and BC...;)
     
  25. wrs46

    wrs46 Formula 3

    May 19, 2005
    1,395
    QC, CANADA (&CH, &F)
    Full Name:
    Walter
    #50 wrs46, Dec 16, 2008
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017

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