Comments on F40 prices anyone? | FerrariChat

Comments on F40 prices anyone?

Discussion in '288GTO/F40/F50/Enzo/LaFerrari/F80' started by Caley, Apr 17, 2010.

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  1. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
    149
    Sweden
    Full Name:
    M Carlson
    Some time ago, more than one voice was raised predicting the economic crisis would affect the F40-prices substantially. Levels of 180-200 000 USD were mentioned as very likely levels when the owners would be forced to sell their toys. Some of us disputed this but many were certain about the doomsday levels.

    I doubt any single car was sold even near these levels, and if anything, prices are higher than ever for the F40 in Europe. The same goes for other collectible Ferraris, and other similar cars as well, like the Miura SV or Porsche Carrera RS. Or the Stratos, and many others.

    I never beleived the doomsday theories, but my private opinion is of no interest here. I just found it sad for the owners of these wonderful cars to hear all this negative guesswork about eroding prices for these fine cars, beeing confused with sub-prime stockmarket portfolios. The latter was corrected because they never had any inner value near their listings, but real and classic items will always be long-lasting and recover. And they deserve respect instead of loud voices of warning based on parallells to totally different assets.

    New crisis will come again, maybe even soon, since the modern financial markets are very volatile. But let us protect the values of the fine collectible Ferraris next time instead of treating them like stock options. I think that they deserve that, and I can only hope that no owner of F40s or similar cars was scared to sell at low prices based on the doomsday predictions. If anything, the enthusiasts of this fine site should stick together and protect our values instead of spreading predictions of rapidly eroding prices, without proof or confirmation. This was sad reading, and maybe with hopes to buy built into part of the predictions. Let us hope we will be wiser next time and not see this debate again.

    As always, anyone is free to dispute my opinion, but please let it be built on facts this time.

    Regards to you all!
    Caley
     
  2. Napolis

    Napolis Three Time F1 World Champ
    Honorary Owner

    Oct 23, 2002
    32,118
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    Jim Glickenhaus
    #2 Napolis, Apr 17, 2010
    Last edited: Apr 17, 2010
    Prices in euro's are higher today than a year ago?

    No ****. The euro is lower and heading down.


    In 1992 US F 40's sold for 425K

    Today you can buy a US F 40 for 425K.

    425K 1992 USD is worth $271,395 2010 USD

    The high tick on a US F40's was 1.5mm USD

    Wanna bet your kidneys that a US F 40 won't trade for less than 200K 1992 USD before too long?
     
  3. SSNISTR

    SSNISTR F1 Veteran

    Feb 13, 2004
    8,046
    SFL
    I see your point, but I don't think that matters.

    If you buy a car for $425K in 1992, and you can enjoy it and sell it for the "same" $425K some 18 years later IMO you made out in a big way. 99% of cars no matter when you got them, or what you paid can't do that....
     
  4. judge4re

    judge4re F1 World Champ

    Apr 26, 2003
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    It matters. Most of us would rather see that same 400k earning 8-9% than not even beating inflation.
     
  5. Napolis

    Napolis Three Time F1 World Champ
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    Oct 23, 2002
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    #5 Napolis, Apr 17, 2010
    Last edited: Apr 17, 2010
    I agree that all that matters with a car is enjoying it. Car's with VERY rare exceptions aren't investment nor should they be. The idea that an FCHAT pricing thread on F 40's might have scared someone into dumping one is ROTFLOL Bull Crap.

    As for inflation IMO we haven't seen nothing yet. When 100% of our Tax Revenue can't service our debt F 40's will trade at much more that 1.5mm USD. Those dollars however will have quite a different value than they did in 1992.

    F 40's over 18 years have lost less of their value than many cars but in inflation adjusted dollars they've moved as I posted.

    Buy cars to enjoy.

    There are stocks people have mentioned on FCHAT that have gone from .24c to 5.00 in five years. Unlike cars IMO companies like that are where one should look for investment.
     
  6. SSNISTR

    SSNISTR F1 Veteran

    Feb 13, 2004
    8,046
    SFL
    Then don't buy cars.
     
  7. modena1_2003

    modena1_2003 F1 Rookie

    Aug 17, 2005
    3,954
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    Jon
    Well said Jim.

    If you value the enjoyment you'd have in an F40 at 600K then its worth it... to that person at least.

    _J
     
  8. Bill S

    Bill S Formula 3

    Oct 2, 2004
    1,995
    If you're just asking "How much?", in my opinion, the price of Ferrari supercars will tend to remain steady or even go up a little. There are too few good cars and too many people that want them. You will NEVER see a 288, F50, or Enzo drop below their original MSRP.

    288s are trading at 5 to 6X MSRP because there are so few and many people want one. That will probably continue for many years.

    F50s are trading at about 1.5X MSRP for almost the same reason, but less people want one. I also think that will continue.

    Enzos are trading at almost 2X MSRP just because they are an Enzo. I doubt you'll see much of a drop here. There will never be another Enzo.

    F40s are an anomally because they were WAY overpriced in 1990 and there are many cars. That's why you see them at only 1X MSRP. But I doubt you'll ever see a nice F40 sell for less than MSRP. If it does, someone will buy it very quickly.

    The prices of these cars have nothing to do with the stock market or housing market but rather how bad someone wants a nice Ferrari supercar. But I do know that no one wants a very nice F40 for $700K. That car in Malibu has been for sale for years.
     
  9. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
    149
    Sweden
    Full Name:
    M Carlson
    Interesting that the mater is still active like nothing has happened since the last debate.

    But here we go:

    Prices for european F40s have increased over the last 2 years, and anyone who follows the market can verify that. You can not buy a decent F40 in europe today below EUR 280-300 K. Two years ago you could do that, and I follow this market with great interest on an almost daily basis. Prices are at least EUR 50 K higher.

    And to clarify, I am talking about prices and not currencyadjusted exchange rates. Adding exchange rates and inflation into the equation is beside the topic because the issue is not comparing F40s to other investment options, but discussing if they are heading towards USD 180-200 K or not. And the facts does not support such a trend. The economic downfall that supported the doomsday predictions is halted, and has turned, with increases in financial markets from the low point of more than 50% in many markets. So why should the F40s continue down the doomsday road alone?

    I am happy with my kidneys, and have no fear of loosing them over this. But if I wanted an extra pair, the bet against yours for F40s not dropping to less than USD 200 K probably has the best odds in the market. But I do not want them - I prefer discussing the market for F40s, and anyone claiming that the F40s are falling in price in Europe is clearly not following the market. A friend just bought one at EUR 300 K, and he is a car dealer planning to make a profit on the car.

    Let us stay with our own kidneys and discuss facts that are easily available in the market, and let us not move away from the topic with exchange rates and inflation, or adjusted prices due to index baskets of capital goods over time. Let us just stay with the question of F40s falling towards USD 180-200 K. It would be very interesting to take part in the support for that theory on a sensible basis. That is enough for this debate.

    Regards to you all!
    Caley





     
  10. No Doubt

    No Doubt Seven Time F1 World Champ

    May 21, 2005
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    Mr. Sideways
    25 year old (and older) cars may be imported into the U.S. without being converted to U.S. specs.

    For the F40, this means that Euro F40's built in 1987 can be imported into the U.S. without conversion ... starting in 2012.

    The above should equalize U.S. and Euro F40 prices.

    In theory, removing the cost of conversion should lower the cost of F40 acquisition. Your mileage may vary.
     
  11. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
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    M Carlson
    Could very well be the fact, but please note the issue at hand - will they drop to USD 200 K?
    Not likely, and even if Europe has more F40s than the US, there is a strong demand for good F40s in Europe as well, especially in Italy, so do not expect a flood of additional cars.

    Caley

     
  12. 134282

    134282 Four Time F1 World Champ
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    Aug 3, 2002
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    Carbon McCoy
    There's an F40 for sale right now for $750,000. I don't know if it'll sell, but that's the asking price.
     
  13. Napolis

    Napolis Three Time F1 World Champ
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    Oct 23, 2002
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    Jim Glickenhaus
    #13 Napolis, Apr 18, 2010
    Last edited: Apr 18, 2010
    YTD the euro has gone from 1.5 to 1.35 vs the USD. You are either able to understand that that this Euro F 40: "Ferrari F 40 LHD 5/1990 243.675 Autosalon Stich" has gone down in value YTD or you're not. Aren't you the one who was going to buy every one you could at 200K e? Look where the euro was four months ago. You're almost there.

    In a few years Euro F 40's will be legal to import into the US. (288 GTO's already are). Thanks to Greece by then the euro IMO will be at about .75 to a USD. Unless Euro F 40's rise very sharply they'll cross 200K USD should I be right about the e/usd.
     
  14. Napolis

    Napolis Three Time F1 World Champ
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    Oct 23, 2002
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    Jim Glickenhaus
    More supply to the US will not effect the price in the US?
     
  15. of2worlds

    of2worlds F1 World Champ
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    Apr 6, 2004
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    Probably not in the case of the F40. The pristine USA market cars (commanding top dollar) will still be in demand and more plentiful. Nice Euro F40 models are very difficult to find and as a result will offer little competition. Maybe a US restoration business that caters to bringing tired Euro F40 models up to USA show standards would do well. Though a US buyer might have more confidence in the perfect unrestored USA version he would still be stuck with those 'mouse motor' seat belts.
    CH
     
  16. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
    149
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    Full Name:
    M Carlson
    How nice that you found the Stich car, but before you question if people understand or not, take a little more time to look. This car is priced at EUR 270 K. The price you quote is GBP, and as I understand you have a currency interest.

    And yes I am willing to buy at USD 200 K, still and always, but none is on offer at this level.
    On the site where you probably found the Stich car and missed the currency, you will notice that the other cars on offer are priced from EUR 310 to 400 K. I suggest that you investigate the different cars on this site more carefully, and you will understand the difference in price.

    But why make this a debate about currency, Greece and financial predictions? The question raised is very simple. Most of the world is through the deepest levels of the financial crisis, including the US even if the structural problems there are far worse than many european countries. So the trend is no longer negative and facts can be gathered. Did any decent F40 sell at USD 200 K? Ever?

    Regarding demand and supply, I am familiar with this theory, but the number of existing cars is not equal to the number offered for sale. And with lower prices predicted by yourself, this should reduce the supply from the owners who are unwilling to sell at low prices, so the balance is really about actual supply and demand. Isn´t economy interesting *L* ?

    I raised this thread in order to look back and compare the predictions with what actually happened, but obviously it is still a hot issue. So let us not raise the stakes more than necessary. To me, facts are clear and most marketplaces tell of far higher prices than the doomsday predictions, and the economy is more stable at the same time. This is proof enough, because it is not predictions or theory, it is facts.

    Regards to you all!
    Caley

     
  17. lee168

    lee168 Formula Junior

    Dec 19, 2003
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    Eddie
    ...for a 60,000 miles car!
     
  18. judge4re

    judge4re F1 World Champ

    Apr 26, 2003
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    They don't disintegrate at 30k.
     
  19. Hawkeye

    Hawkeye F1 Veteran
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    Sep 20, 2009
    8,183
    Check this out: You can give someone little green pieces of paper and they give you an F40

    sshhh: let's keep this between you and me.
     
  20. lee168

    lee168 Formula Junior

    Dec 19, 2003
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    Eddie
    Of course not. But the value we're talking about here centers around lower mileage cars, not cars that have 60,000 miles...
     
  21. judge4re

    judge4re F1 World Champ

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    I'm in the camp that would rather have a regularly driven and properly serviced car than a museum piece that has the original air in the tires...
     
  22. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
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    Full Name:
    M Carlson
    Look more carful at this advert on mobile - the pictures are from a US car, with engine bay from a non cat car and interior from a third car. We have seen these "cars" before on mobile, and my advice is to read between the lines before entering these "down-payment-offers".

    And we are discussing the general market level for F40 prices, not one offer which is most certanly a scam.

    Caley

     
  23. Napolis

    Napolis Three Time F1 World Champ
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    Oct 23, 2002
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    Jim Glickenhaus
    #24 Napolis, Apr 18, 2010
    Last edited: Apr 18, 2010
    You know for a fact that this is a Scam?

    The Price for a 60,000 mile Euro seems about right to me.

    What do you think a 60,000 mile Euro is worth today? More than 200Ke??

    You sure that when a car like this with even higher mileage is fully US legal it won't trade for 200K USD?

    You think the crisis is over?

    You think the Euro is done falling?

    You going long?

    You think the increased supply of Euro F 40's that will become US legal will not depress US prices?

    How about 288 GTO's? Four months ago Experts were telling us here they traded at what 650K USD? Next weekend a now US legal 288 GTO will cross the block at RM Monaco. Think it will sell for 650K USD?

    As Joe pointed out some Euro F 40's have been ridden Hard and put away Wet. Think when those cars have 100,000K miles on them and become US legal they won't trade at 200K USD?

    Where do you think they'll trade?

    NNO

    If you find a buyer for that Puppy at 750K USD I have a bridge he may be interested in.

    As an aside Mike got the price wrong I paid for 0854 in SCM. He should correct that.

    It won't do for people to think I payed WAY more than I did.

    Hope You're Enjoying The California Girls.

    (and that they're enjoying U)
     
  24. Caley

    Caley Karting

    Apr 25, 2007
    149
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    Full Name:
    M Carlson
    Plenty of questions - interesting approach.

    Look at the car at mobile and compare with the description of the "black leather interior".
    What do you think about all this yourself? That an ad at mobile where nothing matches, for a high milage car from an unidentified seller, is the best indication of market prices?

    To me, the biggest questionmark is how prices can be predicted at below USD 200 K by

    - referring to odd adds where nothing matches
    - misreading GBP for EUR
    - comparisions to inflation to describe how low the value actually is today
    - exchange rate discussions and predictions about the relation between the USD and EUR
    - references to possible very high milage cars
    - discussions about the financial crisis

    Wow, all this instead of a single answer - is the general market for F40s supported by any facts that they will trade below USD 200K?

    No such proof is available, and to my opinion the trend is upwards for these cars. I try to deal with facts because it is much more reliable than predictions. Anyone can check the car sites and see if the trading prices are generally supporting the doomsday predictions or not.

    I am an investor in the financial market, just like yourself, and we all have differing opinions on a daily basis. And there is always a crisis in the economy in some area, and in others it is not. But generally the world markets are more stable now than 8-9 months ago. Of course it will be new crisis again, but also new booms. It is a part of the game, but this is not a thread for financial discussions, and I have no intention to dispute your personal opinion. It is yours and I respect it. I just can not find any proof for it in the marketplace, so I have an opposite opinion than yours.

    And I have asked a very simple question:
    has any F40 of normal milage and condition sold below USD 200 K, and is this a trend for the rest of the F40 market? My best answer to that is no, since I have no knowledge of other than the opposite. So I think I will let others debate this for a while now, so we both can see which opinion is supported, which was the general idea of the tread.

    And regarding your question about the 288 GTO, I have one myself, and was recently offered more than USD 600 for it. By a buyer I know and will pay any day if I change my mind. This is facts to me. In my opinion, the market is what is really happening, not what people guess or think but do not do. But of course, we are all different - that is the charm of life!

    Take care!
    Caley


     

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