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Oz predictions

Discussion in 'F1' started by Ferraripilot, Mar 8, 2013.

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  1. Fast_ian

    Fast_ian Two Time F1 World Champ

    Sep 25, 2006
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    OK, I'll ask.......

    FWIW, one (think of me as a baby Mateschitz ;)) of my fantasy teams would/will benefit *hugely* if you're correct........ My senior team is way more "conservative".... We'll see.

    Roger that.......

    Just more "worthless guesses" until you've got skin in the game! ;)

    Cheers,
    Ian
     
  2. Wolfgang5150

    Wolfgang5150 F1 Rookie

    Oct 31, 2003
    4,706
    Oz is a wildcard; I have no f-ing clue, but would love to see Webbo win it! In probably his final Aussie gp
     
  3. Fast_ian

    Fast_ian Two Time F1 World Champ

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    +1 ;)

    Not only are we in the peanut gallery clueless, all the competitors and "experts" are too IMO.

    "This is why we watch!"....... ;)

    Cheers,
    Ian
     
  4. ricksb

    ricksb F1 Veteran

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    +1...wait until Australia before we start crowning this year's champs.
     
  5. Bas

    Bas Four Time F1 World Champ

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    do tell.
     
  6. DF1

    DF1 Three Time F1 World Champ

    #31 DF1, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2013
    Please elaborate! :) I will for sure stay with my prediction now!

    Quick rules overview 2013 from BBC:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/21712291
     
  7. Ferraripilot

    Ferraripilot F1 World Champ
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    #32 Ferraripilot, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
    Some details regarding the Red Bull were pointed out to me last night by an anonymous large F1 team employee, hence my immediate about face of the situation. These details I had not at first given much weight to but I am told they are quite amazing and will definitely put RB9 at the front of the pack and in 'dominant' form again unless someone copies their design.

    Direct your eyes to the rear brake ducts (if you can call them that) and winglets attached, I am told they have the entire paddock terrified and mesmerized. Specifically, the part which differentiates these ducts with other teams is not only their additional elements they employ, but the uppermost element extends in front of the rear wheel and I am told has nearly the same surface area as another beam wing!! No other team are running a large main plane atop their brake ducts like this, everyone else simply has the upper control arm attached to that area and that's it, when RB9 practically has it's upper control arm integrated with the brake duct winglet. Even if they are a third as effective as another beam wing would be, these massive duct elements on their own are worth a hefty amount of rear downforce. This is further why the RB9 front wing is massively complicated with winglets and cascades other teams simply cannot employ due to not having the back end to balance it. This is also why we're seeing the RB9 front wing 'bend' again, because it's running so so much front downforce that no matter what 'flexi test' is thrown at it, it's going to bend a bit.


    So there we have it, rear brake ducts upper wings. And until someone copies them, Red Bull will win anything and everything. I've thrown in a comparo pic of a couple other contenders, no one is running such an amazing upper brake duct element at the suspension arm pickup point.

    The only hope is that the RB9 is still less stable under braking due to its ramp and tunnel type exhaust, the other configuration are definitely better in that regard. Mercedes has a small amount of hope due to their mechanical traction advantage, but that's it otherwise. The season is over until that design is copied and built upon.
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  8. Ferraripilot

    Ferraripilot F1 World Champ
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    #33 Ferraripilot, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
  9. Ferraripilot

    Ferraripilot F1 World Champ
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    So, please accept this post as my qualifying and race prediction revision:

    Q

    Vettel
    Webber
    Hamilton
    Grosjean
    Raikkonen
    Alonso
    Rosberg
    Button
    Massa

    R

    Vettel
    Webber
    Hamilton
    Raikkonen
    Alonso
    Button
    Rosberg
     
  10. Ferraripilot

    Ferraripilot F1 World Champ
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    #35 Ferraripilot, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
    I should add one detail here that might provide a glimmer of hope. Something Red Bull definitely do not have are partial u-shaped sidepods and these three winglets just below the mirrors. These winglets flow air up and then attach to the 'U' portion of the sidepods with the primary action items definitely being the mini winglets as they keep the flow attached to the rear sidepod cleanly thus providing a good bit of downforce. Ferrari have a smaller version of this arrangement but it's not quite so obvious with their sidepods shapes whereas the Merc was clearly going for a ducted yet light 'U' shape. Still, I don't believe this will get them within a couple tenths of RB9. Maybe at Monaco..... let's hope I'm wrong or we're in for a boring season
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  11. tifosi12

    tifosi12 Four Time F1 World Champ
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    I hope he goes on a diet soon.

    A fourth title would elevate Vettel to third place alongside the Professor in the Pantheon of the F1 Gods. Next stop: Fangio
     
  12. Far Out

    Far Out F1 Veteran

    Feb 18, 2007
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    The brake ducts are interesting. However, I guess that it's not too difficult to copy them, as they are an auxiliary part and not a chassis component. Of course they have to be embedded in the overall aerodynamic concept, but I suppose not on a "redesign the whole car" scale.
     
  13. TifosiUSA

    TifosiUSA F1 Veteran

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    LOL. Disagree. Too early for that.
     
  14. tifosi12

    tifosi12 Four Time F1 World Champ
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    #39 tifosi12, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
  15. Fast_ian

    Fast_ian Two Time F1 World Champ

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    #40 Fast_ian, Mar 9, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
    +1 "No big deal" IMO. Certainly not worthy of throwing in the towel......

    FWIW, I postulated on ducts when I saw the F138;

    http://www.ferrarichat.com/forum/142085107-post262.html

    Same picture below - Seems Ferrari (at least) are doing something similar. Note also the maximum size is pretty tightly specified - You can't do "monster" ducts.

    EDIT; Just lightened the RB9 image too - Attached for comparison. "Nothing to see here, move along!"......

    Cheers,
    Ian
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  16. davebuchner

    davebuchner Formula 3

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    Fred for the win - here's hoping at least!!
     
  17. ricksb

    ricksb F1 Veteran

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    As I stated earlier, I don't think the teams are just giving lip-service when they suspect the championship will be close and crowded this year. Red Bull should be tipped as the favorite due to their 3-year dominance, but things change quickly in F1.

    Let's wait until next weekend to get a real sense of what the pecking order is. Anything more is purely speculation (not that there is anything wrong with that, but I can't opine on the entire season based on testing speculation).
     
  18. Fast_ian

    Fast_ian Two Time F1 World Champ

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    +1 Couldn't agree more.

    I can see pretty much the entire field being covered by ~2 seconds! I love this sport. ;)


    Oxymoron here I feel. :) "3 years of dominance" suggests things don't change that quickly in F1. ;)

    Seriously, are you in the fantasy league? Even if not, & you're not "into" that, have a play with Tillmans "team builder" app and post your "best bets"......

    QuickCash

    FWIW, I'll reveal mine soon, but suffice for now to say I'm betting *big* on their dominance continuing in one league......

    Cheers,
    Ian
     
  19. ricksb

    ricksb F1 Veteran

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    I was thinking how quickly Ferrari fell back to the field once Renault/Alonso upset the apple cart and their dominance. Maybe I missed the word "can" in that statement (i.e. things CAN change quickly in F1)
     
  20. Fast_ian

    Fast_ian Two Time F1 World Champ

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    :D

    No offense intended! "Can" changes everything :)

    I do think we "know";

    - Ferrari haven't produced Clifford #2
    - Merc have made progress
    - Beyond that, I ain't got a clue!

    Again, I love this sport. ;)

    Cheers,
    Ian
     
  21. Bas

    Bas Four Time F1 World Champ

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    Lotus seems to be awfully optimistic. No advantage in saying they are if they're not...
     
  22. vagabond

    vagabond Karting

    Aug 23, 2005
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    Quali
    1. Hamilton
    2. Vettel
    3. Rosberg
    4. Webber
    5. Button

    Race
    1. Vettel
    2. Hamilton
    3. Webber
    4. Button
    5. Rosberg
     
  23. tifosi12

    tifosi12 Four Time F1 World Champ
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    #48 tifosi12, Mar 11, 2013
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
  24. PSk

    PSk F1 World Champ

    Nov 20, 2002
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    Ian, what makes you so confident? A likely scenario is they have improved Clifford but the main contenders have moved further forward.

    Its not like Clifford was a good basis. Yes it came second but it was not the second fastest car. Consistent results is how we survived 2012, not out right pace.

    IMO the McLaren looked like a rocket that they just did not understand fully, thus I'm expecting this car (2013's version) to have closed the gap to RedBull.
    Pete
     
  25. NJB13

    NJB13 Formula 3

    Jan 5, 2013
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    Have I read this right - you think McLaren has closed ground on Red Bull since last year?

    I thought McLaren clearly had the fastest car at the end of last year, so I would be thinking the pressure was on Red Bull to close ground on them.

    From the video footage I've looked at the F138 is competitive.
     

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