Is this a bubble? | Page 28 | FerrariChat

Is this a bubble?

Discussion in '308/328' started by slvr993, Jan 8, 2015.

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  1. Fave

    Fave F1 Rookie

    Aug 12, 2010
    4,157
    Tarana
    Full Name:
    L. Ike Hunt
    The time of the bottom feeder is over.
     
  2. MREUS

    MREUS Formula Junior
    Owner

    Jul 24, 2006
    832
    Huntington Beach, CA
    #677 MREUS, Feb 8, 2015
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2015
    I agree.
    There is another thread about who would trade their 3x8 for a 360. I have yet to see anyone who would...only those who would keep their 3x8 and maybe add a 360.
    The buying pool may be getting bigger AND some, like me, may be looking to purchase another/additional 3x8.

    Two other points.
    1 - This is the winter when sports cars are usually at a "discount". I wonder what the prices will be looking like starting in May of this year.
    2 - I had my 308's value increased with Hagerty last year and the underwriter wanted justification, pictures, etc. I increased the value again, in January, and Hagerty instantly accepted it. I might increase it yet again as I was discussing that I could not replace my car at the value that I have it insured for.

    Something to think about...Could you obtain a replacement at the value you have your 3x8 insured for?
     
  3. Nachtfalter

    Nachtfalter Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2012
    450
    So-Cal
    I'm sure you know they made over 12,000 308's right?

    If anything over 50k for one seems like a good use of money, buy one. I assure you, the 40 something's are the last batch of potential buyers and I honestly don't think there are many of them.....so spend your money wisely.

    Over zealous sellers are driving this market, not buyers. The big money ones just sit for sale month after month.
     
  4. Owens84QV

    Owens84QV F1 Rookie

    Oct 2, 2001
    4,486
    Somewhere in NC
    Full Name:
    Greg
    At one point not too long ago, I was thinking $100K. That number seems like it might be a little too near-term (e.g 2015). My number is closer to yours...$200K.
     
  5. VMAXIM

    VMAXIM Rookie

    Sep 22, 2013
    43
    Toronto
    Full Name:
    Gino Rossi7
    I think the real question is how many of those 12000 are left? Do you know that all of the 308's registered on this site doesn't reach 1000?
     
  6. scudF1

    scudF1 F1 Rookie
    Silver Subscribed

    Jan 21, 2012
    2,918
    Long Island, NY
    Full Name:
    Billy
    +1
     
  7. Bones2U

    Bones2U Formula Junior

    Jul 13, 2008
    814
    Ontario
    They made 12,000 over how many years? They only made about 2,800 a year. Certainly not 16,000 or 20,000 a year they are doing right now. Ferrari is flooding the market with cars and diminishing their value. Just like Harley Davidson. Slowly killing the brand.
     
  8. thedoc

    thedoc Formula 3

    May 27, 2009
    2,159
    Does anyone here including the poster above have cold hard stats on any steel dry sump frame off nut bolt ground up cars re their recent selling prices . If so post recent truly comparable results and then start the conversations. I think speculation about what is and is not a realistic price is simply .........................speculation given that few if any come for sale in this condition .
    I suspect the seller might be trying to feel out the market and I suspect the car will eventually sell most likely privately for an undisclosed amount as typically the best ones do . This of course is just me speculating .........

    Gary
    Espada
    8394
    EtypeFHC
    887465
     
  9. Bones2U

    Bones2U Formula Junior

    Jul 13, 2008
    814
    Ontario
    It takes on average 6 months to sell an exotic car.

    Or in my case 2 hours :).......at least to get a deposit.......LOL.

    M.
     
  10. Bullfighter

    Bullfighter Two Time F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa Owner

    Jan 26, 2005
    22,607
    Gates Mills, Ohio
    Full Name:
    Jon
    Agree.

    Except that the outdated, antiquated 275 GTB, 330 GTC, etc. are well past their sell-by date if we go by the generational theory. And Merc 300 SLs should be getting cheap as "that generation" of owners dumps them.

    As has been posted, some of us have enough modern cars and want something different.
     
  11. Bones2U

    Bones2U Formula Junior

    Jul 13, 2008
    814
    Ontario
    Billy, can I ask what's your motivation to buy? Just curious.
     
  12. JAM1

    JAM1 F1 Veteran
    Rossa Subscribed

    Oct 22, 2004
    8,732
    FL, NY, and MA
    Full Name:
    Joe
    How many of the 308's built world wide still exist worldwide? How many made it to the US, and how many of those still exist? And to put production numbers in perspective, compare the aforementioned numbers to Porsche, who built as many 911's in a single year as Ferrari built 308s over the course of a decade. It isn't as if there's a surplus of these cars out there.

    It's also false to say sellers are driving the market. Buyers are stepping up and paying more for nice or "rare" cars. Sure there are some cars sitting on the market at high prices, but many are trading hands for similar money. I know of a few different 308 GTBs that have sold near $100k in the past couple of months. Buyers had something to do with that!
     
  13. MS250

    MS250 Two Time F1 World Champ
    Lifetime Rossa

    Dec 10, 2003
    26,600
    Full Name:
    Avvocato
    You are a man of a few but wise words.
     
  14. Nachtfalter

    Nachtfalter Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2012
    450
    So-Cal
    Ok, I agree with that, but the 300SL, 275, and Dino buyers are all the same "Bruce Meyer and Jay Leno" age group. A genXer will not flock to a gullwing Mercedes, anymore than large crowds get excited about a Duesenberg like they did in the 70's. Baby Boomers will all be gone and their dream cars will become artifacts like a grandfather clock...... sure, they're neat but who is buying a grandfather clock?
     
  15. Tricycle

    Tricycle Formula Junior

    Dec 21, 2004
    636
    LA Cnty 4,083sqmiles
    I thought by definition all us 3X8 owners were bottom feeders by definition in the Ferrari world :)


    I can't change my image now! :)
     
  16. singletrack

    singletrack F1 Veteran

    Mar 16, 2011
    5,805
    Pittsburgh, PA
    Ferrari makes no v6 engines today. The 488 is a twin turbo v8.

    They make about 7k cars a year max currently. They of course will be increasing production based on what we hear from FCA.
     
  17. Nachtfalter

    Nachtfalter Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2012
    450
    So-Cal
    Great, those are passionate end users not caring about a bubble or a potential next buyer. I can give you plenty of examples of nice cars just sitting for sale.
    The air cooled Porsche market is totally different as they have a massive audience to Ferrari's small potential buyer audience.
     
  18. 4redno

    4redno Formula 3

    Mar 21, 2006
    1,067
    Seattle, WA
    Full Name:
    Keith Mitchell Wintraub
    The seller/restorer posted photos of the restoration before during and after. It's clearly legit.

    A total restoration by a respected shop that achieves platinum awards for their work is going to set you back at least $300K these days. The amount of work required to restore a TDF, a Daytona, a Dino or a 308 is not dramatically different and the hourly rate does not change. Restoration of the rarest and most tired Ferraris cars can approach $500K. If someone is buying a very rare and valuable Ferrari, the cost of a restoration is almost a rounding error.

    So while there might be a bit of shock and awe when a 308 appears with an asking price of $345K, if I wanted a dry sump 308 to restore, I doubt I could find one in this market for less than $100K. Arguably, you are getting this car for $45K and simply paying for a $300K restoration which is already complete. Provided you like the colors of this car and were already planning to fully restore a dry sump 308 GTB, this would be the one to buy.

    I've been down this road with a Dino years ago. Unless you want to experience the thrill and pain of investing in the restoration of a car, paying for someone else's restoration is always preferable.

    My $0.02.

    Keith
     
  19. JAM1

    JAM1 F1 Veteran
    Rossa Subscribed

    Oct 22, 2004
    8,732
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    Joe
    Please elaborate.
     
  20. Bones2U

    Bones2U Formula Junior

    Jul 13, 2008
    814
    Ontario
    That's the last time I use Jalopnik as a source......LOL
     
  21. Nachtfalter

    Nachtfalter Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2012
    450
    So-Cal
    I'm sure you are aware of the massive market up swing in air cooled (notably 1978-89 3.0 and 3.2) and it is based on the massive amount of people wanting them. Apparently the hipster crowd loves them.....
     
  22. cnpapa24

    cnpapa24 F1 Rookie

    Jan 19, 2014
    3,659
    NOLA
    Full Name:
    Chris
    Please list these languishing 308s here!
     
  23. Nachtfalter

    Nachtfalter Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2012
    450
    So-Cal
    #698 Nachtfalter, Feb 8, 2015
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2015
    Use Google, go to Hemmings, search Ferrari 308. Most, if not all cars over 70k have been sitting there month after month. There is a really nice low mile 2VGTB (the lowest production of all) on SF craigs for literally 3 years.
     
  24. scudF1

    scudF1 F1 Rookie
    Silver Subscribed

    Jan 21, 2012
    2,918
    Long Island, NY
    Full Name:
    Billy
    Because I fit the discription. It was a cool car growing up as a kid and I want it as an addition to my stable. I currently own a scuderia.
     
  25. VIZSLA

    VIZSLA Four Time F1 World Champ
    Owner

    Jan 11, 2008
    41,692
    Sarasota
    Full Name:
    David
    Interest in the prewar era is diminishing and some prices are moderating. Given the great length of their collectable hay day I'd say that its not a bubble we're looking at but a curve.
     

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