is the bubble due to burst? | Page 59 | FerrariChat

is the bubble due to burst?

Discussion in 'Vintage Ferrari Market' started by PFSEX, Jan 18, 2013.

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  1. ersatzS2

    ersatzS2 Formula Junior

    Jan 24, 2009
    862
    Norfolk VA
    I happen to have six aircooled P-cars at the moment so I'm not complaining but I share your mystification. Yes early 3.0 Turbo Carreras were produced in numbers comparable to 300SLs, but very similar descendants were manufactured in the tens of thousands. OTOH, I've thought the very special Porsches were mysteriously undervalued relative to period peers eg 904s. I think the shark was jumped on 'mass produced' sportscars when an E-Type Jag sold for >$500K. They made 75,000 of those…
     
  2. fgsavoia

    fgsavoia Karting

    Jul 2, 2011
    182
    Milano, Italy
    Full Name:
    Francesco

    What E-Type has been sold for that shocking amount?


    Francesco
     
  3. Hugh Conway

    Hugh Conway Karting

    Jul 24, 2012
    141
  4. bereng

    bereng Rookie

    Feb 2, 2008
    18
    Amazing thread. It's taken me one week to read from the beginning on and off. Really interesting and great opinions.

    I guess independent you bought your car because you liked it, because you invest, speculate or most probably a mix of those etc it's still intellectually appealing and challenging trying to pin down and predict the future behavior of prices.

    Great comments and sad to learn some great posters 'retire' from 'value/price' threads as some of use learn a lot from these people.
     
  5. fgsavoia

    fgsavoia Karting

    Jul 2, 2011
    182
    Milano, Italy
    Full Name:
    Francesco
    Thank you for the links.

    Back on topic, I doubt that muscle cars and aircooled Porsches phenomena can have anything in common. Porsches were "mass produced" compared to Ferrari of the same period, but we are still talking of 2,000 cars made per year (pre-bumpers series), at least on tenth of the production of the Mustang alone. And, of course, we are talking about cars light years distant from each other under every point of view.
     
  6. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 22, 2002
    19,255
    be very careful of what you read here - most people don't have a clue. most posters have never purchased a Ferrari, and the some of the well informed posters use the forum for their personal benefit....they talk down prices when they have something to buy, talk them up when they want to sell something. Even in the equity and fixed income markets only a handful of people make money by trading - same with cars. buy what you love when you can afford it - and if its your goal to never sell them you will do just fine while everyone else spends time talking, debating, and pontificating.

    And remember, for all those here who say the market is overheated and a bubble- why didn't they back up the truck in 2009 and 2010? go back and read the posts from end of 2008 to end of 2010 - there were only a handful of us talking about buying cars - there were only a handful of us who had our lists and cldnt find stuff to buy fast enough. Now all of a sudden we have dozens of people who have become no skin in the game market experts. Making money doing anything in life requires balls and brains. One doesn't suffice.

    enough said.
     
  7. sherpa23

    sherpa23 F1 World Champ
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    May 28, 2003
    10,008
    Rocky Mountains
    Full Name:
    Bastuna
    Perfectly said.
     
  8. FarEastFerrari

    FarEastFerrari Formula Junior

    Jan 27, 2014
    433
    Hong Kong, LA & NY
    Full Name:
    Thomas Choi
    I agree with what you say. I would also offer a counter point that many people in fchat are also not always so self-interested. I found a many genuine folks who gave me very helpful advice and useful information. I bought and sold a few cars from folks here as well. Some guys gave me a good deal on the cars below the market values and I also sold cars to other fchatters below the maximum I could have earned on some cars.
     
  9. 85886

    85886 Karting

    Feb 22, 2012
    134
    Does anybody know what the high bid for the BB 512 at Bonhams' Goodwood auction last weekend was?
     
  10. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 22, 2002
    19,255
    totally - ive met some really good friends/people on the board
     
  11. ferraripete

    ferraripete F1 World Champ

    seems not to have sold.
     
  12. 375+

    375+ F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    Dec 28, 2005
    13,648
    If it is a No Sale high bid is meaningless.
     
  13. roma1280

    roma1280 F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    May 2, 2010
    4,831
    Palm Beach, Roma
    I wouldn't say it's meaningless, doesn't the high bid mean that on that day the car was at least worth the high bid + commission? It's just that the seller wanted more on that day.
     
  14. barchetta

    barchetta Formula Junior

    Nov 5, 2003
    893
    I think what 375+ is trying to say is that the high bid may well have been the auction house's own bids to try and get the car to meet the reserve price. In other words, there may not have been any real buyers in the room (or on the phone) and thus, the high bid in that scenario is indeed meaningless.
     
  15. roma1280

    roma1280 F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    May 2, 2010
    4,831
    Palm Beach, Roma
    Sorry I always naively forget that there are shenanigans going on.
    I stand corrected, it's meaningless.
     
  16. richardson michael

    Aug 17, 2013
    239
    brittany. france
    Full Name:
    michael richardson
    Exactly. If there is a reserve figure in front of the auctioneer,then he can continue to take bids'off the wall' a meaningless exercise,but .who knows,someone MAY come in and put their hand up,and,with a bit of luck,someone who has a phone line booked may do the same. If that then arrives around the reserve(give or take 10%),you can bet the hammer will come down double quick! 15% from the buyer,10% from the seller,two minutes work, now thats the way to make money.
     
  17. 375+

    375+ F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    Dec 28, 2005
    13,648
    Not meaningless, auctioneer can bid on behalf of the consignor up to the reserve. In most cases it gives a good indication of the reserve.
     
  18. richardson michael

    Aug 17, 2013
    239
    brittany. france
    Full Name:
    michael richardson
    What's the difference? If the reserve is fixed,and there are no bidders,he may as well move on....
     
  19. greg 19425

    greg 19425 Formula 3

    Jan 6, 2011
    2,471
    Wake Forest, NC
    Full Name:
    Greg
    .....makes the consignor feel better. :)
     
  20. Bobj

    Bobj Formula Junior

    Aug 12, 2013
    486
    UK
    Most auction houses publish the high no sale price - it obviously looks better for them to have a higher price, even if the car doesn't sell
     
  21. dcc

    dcc Rookie

    Aug 24, 2013
    44
    UK
    Full Name:
    David
    No bids
    Late lot and no one left in the room
    And no phones
     
  22. dcc

    dcc Rookie

    Aug 24, 2013
    44
    UK
    Full Name:
    David
    #1472 dcc, Jul 3, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
  23. Caeruleus11

    Caeruleus11 F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Jun 11, 2013
    11,606
  24. synchro

    synchro F1 Veteran

    Feb 14, 2005
    9,294
    CHNDLR
    Full Name:
    Scott
    A lot of Daytonas coming up in Monterey, let's see if the market is saturated?!
     
  25. ginge82

    ginge82 Formula 3

    Jul 23, 2012
    1,361
    Europe
    Full Name:
    Art Corvelay
    Just seen the estimate for RM's Enzo to be sold at Monterey.

    $4,000,000 -6,000,000.

    Wow.
     

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