It seems the market has really changed | Page 9 | FerrariChat

It seems the market has really changed

Discussion in 'Ferrari Discussion (not model specific)' started by proof69, Jun 30, 2015.

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  1. -K1-

    -K1- Formula Junior

    Jul 10, 2008
    699
    Northern Italy
    Full Name:
    Ken
    Regarding RM I overheard Rob Meyers at a recent auction talking about how much work the auctions were and that it was literally one auction to the next beings very busy lifestyle. He's getting on a bit, likely made plenty of cash and probably wants to retire at some point. They make a lot of fees but man the staff that they have are numerous. At 25% to Sotheby's RM gets great brand recognition and allows them to stand above the other auction houses so I also see this as a motivation.
     
  2. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    May 27, 2004
    19,855
    FL
    Full Name:
    Sean
    I sold a major share in a company I spent 20 years building from scratch. The reasons are that my competitors had scale I did not, they could take opportunities I couldnt and could insulate against downturns in a way I couldnt.

    Most importantly having a big partner involved allowed us to tap into resources finanicial and intelelctual that allowed us to fast track growth opportunities we had previously watched from afar or that our competitors were too slow to move on because they did not have the annalytical ability or small company drive. The intellectual asetts backing us up, taught me a lot about running a company in genral, analysing opportunity metrics, and allowed for growth even beyond what I imagined realistic.

    In addition to the buisness opportunities afforded, selling some share gave me personal liquidity which I previously had not enjoyed, reduced casflow stress, and removed the stifling controls of bank debt on the company.

    Fast forwards 10 years, exponential growth meant my big partner was calculating the costs of getting rid of the junior partner as becoming increaingly expensive. They took advantage of the recssion to try wedge me out, I resisted 2 years later they were prepared to pay heavily for it. I figured we had ridden that pony as far as it would go.

    Nothing wrong with finding new opportunities in life, its refreshing, especialy when you have the capital to be able to afford to say no or yes.

    i big partner can do wonders for a buisness. Think of it like when a tree falls in the woods, which sapling can take advange of the sunlight quick enough to grow into the space.
     
  3. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    This such a great thread. It's much more than how high will my Ferrari go? The in-depth analysis by the fellow business owners here is great.
    The conversation has gone from markets, future Asian growth trends to M&A and business strategy.

    It's my favorite thread to read.

    Shamile

    Freeze. ..Miami Vice!

    Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 using Tapatalk
     
  4. 330 4HL

    330 4HL Formula 3

    May 12, 2005
    1,646
    Vancouver
    Full Name:
    Rick Bradner
    I think this is more likely what's happening at RM.
    All of the principals have been at it for quite a long time, and it makes sense to "take a bit off the table" at this point.
     
  5. DrJan

    DrJan Formula Junior

    Feb 28, 2015
    553
    Grand Cayman
    Full Name:
    Dr Jan P
    Now I am waiting for it to slide over to sex. And back to Ferraris.
    And a combination of those.
     
  6. proof69

    proof69 Formula 3

    Sep 14, 2014
    1,003

    Sorry, my mistake.
     
  7. proof69

    proof69 Formula 3

    Sep 14, 2014
    1,003

    Sorry, my mistake.
     
  8. MarketGuy

    MarketGuy Karting

    Oct 19, 2011
    54
    So, I see Shamile has his TR up for sale in the classifieds. So much for keep it till it rots cuz you love it. Says it's a matter of time vs. a TR vs. a Lambo.

    I wonder if he'd be selling it if the market worth was $60k+-, like a couple of yrs ago or so?

    There are not that many people that can ignore the $potential$ in a Ferrari in their garage, so I expect more and more cars to hit the market. Could be many from Fchat, as these cars tend to be well kept and documented.

    $money$ talks, most will listen, few will ignore, regardless of how much they like their Fcar.
     
  9. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    #209 Shamile, Jul 16, 2015
    Last edited by a moderator: Sep 7, 2017
    Seriously? Don't make me out to sound like a hypocrite. I've had my Testarossa for the last 12 years and my Diablo for the last 10 years. If you read my ad, I stated that I'm not a collector and I was on the way to add a 360 spyder. I then realized I don't want to spend more and more of my time just working on my cars.

    Do you really want to know what changed my mind and directions? Well, some old guy T boned me last week in my Diablo...and hard enough to push me sideways into oncoming traffic. I was able to swerve back without injury. It just reinforced what I've been feeling lately. I want more time to have fun....not just play in the garage.

    My Roadster is currently at Lamborghini Miami undergoing a full analysis. If I was really worried about the money, I wouldn't drive my cars as daily drivers. I don't regret driving the car and whether it's repaired or I buy another Lamborghini....it WILL be a daily driver.

    ...and yeah yeah, it'll buff right out ;)


    Shamile

    Freeze...Miami Vice!
    Image Unavailable, Please Login
     
  10. VIZSLA

    VIZSLA Four Time F1 World Champ
    Owner

    Jan 11, 2008
    41,692
    Sarasota
    Full Name:
    David
    Glad you weren't hurt.
    Life is short. Enjoy the ride.
     
  11. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    Thanks !

    ....and damn right!



    Shamile

    Freeze...Miami Vice!
     
  12. proof69

    proof69 Formula 3

    Sep 14, 2014
    1,003

    Sorry about your car. I really give you credit for driving your cars unlike some people on here that just go in their garage and look at them.
     
  13. ozziindaus

    ozziindaus F1 Veteran

    Aug 16, 2012
    9,799
    Detroit
    Full Name:
    Sam
    Oh Shammy, bad news on the Lambo, even worse not having you around the TR section. :( Good luck with it all.
     
  14. Cigarzman

    Cigarzman F1 Veteran
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    +1 glad you are ok bro. If it can be fixed with money it ain't broke. Good luck mi amigo.
     
  15. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    Oh, I'll still be an active participant in the TR forum. I'm not adding another Ferrari so that'll still be home lol
    Thanks!



    Shamile

    Freeze. ..Miami Vice!
     
  16. abstamaria

    abstamaria F1 Rookie

    Feb 11, 2006
    2,668
    Full Name:
    Andres
    Shame about the Lambo, Shamille, but it is good you were not hurt.
     
  17. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    Thanks. We're still in the assessment stage but the hit was pretty hard. We've got suspension error warning lights, airbag light on and other electronic anomalies. Sooo....

    Shamile

    Freeze. ..Miami Vice!
     
  18. azboater

    azboater Karting

    Jan 27, 2007
    60
    Arizona
    Full Name:
    Nick
    A photo of Your car made Wrecked Exotics

    Glad you are OK!

    Lamborghini Diablo Roadster crashed in Orlando, Fl
     
  19. Shamile

    Shamile F1 Veteran

    Dec 31, 2002
    6,712
    Lakeland FL
    Full Name:
    Shamile
    Haha.....never thought I would see my own car on that site lol

    ....and thanks

    The caption is true. I just won a gold award in the Celebration exotic car festival. I was 1/2 a point off from platinum. ......cause I left all the booklets at home. :/

    [​IMG]

    Shamile

    Freeze. ..Miami Vice!

    Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 using Tapatalk
     
  20. sherpa23

    sherpa23 F1 World Champ
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    May 28, 2003
    10,017
    Rocky Mountains
    Full Name:
    Bastuna
    #220 sherpa23, Jul 22, 2015
    Last edited: Jul 22, 2015
    Um, here is what's happening in Greece...

    They're reiterating the meaning of "hard asset" exactly as many people in this thread predicted.


    http://www.ferrarichat.com/forum/612-599/494459-612-do-not.html#post144078601


    Brad, how is your gold play working out?
     
  21. Caeruleus11

    Caeruleus11 F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Jun 11, 2013
    11,662
    Just like some guys have said- hard assets often provide better protection than cash. Thats why when people flee their homes, they usually do it loaded up with gold, jewelry, collectibles, and sure some cash you'll need that too. Its a shame when this happens to people. I'm not trying to make light of it. Just pointing out how many people have realized cars are not a terrible class of hard assets.
     
  22. Bradwilliams

    Bradwilliams F1 Veteran
    Silver Subscribed

    Better get into the art market now! These artists are dying, and no longer painting! Many are already dead!

    Prices will do nothing but go up! :)
     
  23. Super_Dave

    Super_Dave Formula Junior

    Oct 6, 2014
    710
    USA
    Full Name:
    Dave

    Sorry, but one person's potentially misguided attempt of avoiding capital restrictions through buying a 612 doesn't mean much.

    Chinese have been flowing money into foreign real estate for similar reasons (as "safe havens") but that doesn't mean it is going to work out well for them. When purchases are made for the sake of moving money around, not much thought is being given to true value or a whole host of other key factors. Ask Chinese investors how their recent Canadian real estate purchases are looking... Canadian dollar down 30% over the past 18 months looks nearly as bad as their own stock market implosion. Layer on top of that a bubble in that market, and those "investments" could soon be worth 50% of what they were just 6 months ago...

    What is evident is that a lot of financial flows recently are largely irrational. Money flowing into particular assets not because of their income generating properties, but purely because of speculative elements, is not a sign of long-term durability and good sense. Once the assets flat-line or start to decline, it leads to another stampede in the other direction. True car collectors may not want (or need) to run out of the market, but the recent "marginal" buyer will be running pretty fast in the opposite direction...

    I'm even more convinced given the nature of posts on the topic in other areas of the site... there is so much buzz about getting into cars now before they go up more... it really does mirror the tech bubble in the late 90s/early 2000, and pretty much every single bubble (including 06/07 US real estate).
     
  24. ozziindaus

    ozziindaus F1 Veteran

    Aug 16, 2012
    9,799
    Detroit
    Full Name:
    Sam
    The posts on this page along with references to the Greece 612 example are interesting. "Desperate measures for desperate times" explains the latter as capital tries to find security over yield wherever it can. There are few options for the Greeks these days as the governement desperately tries to pick the pockets of its citizens in order to meet the impossible demands of foreign creditors. The banks will win AGAIN, the public will loose more confidence in the establishment and be worse off when the dust settles. I don't think Ferraris are enough to preserve wealth in that situation. Anything short of a debt jubilee is likely to fail and will sink most into poverty.

    As for China, capital has been flowing OUT ever since it marked itself as the next financial superpower as did Japan before them :rolleyes:. This indicates less confidence in the Chinese authority than the Greeks do in theirs. Foreign RE, specifically in US, Canada and Australia have received a massive boost outperforming just about every other sector with little regard for sustainability. To locals benefiting from home equity bumps, "it's different this time"; history however will soon prove otherwise as capital will be force to either repatriate or find an alternative liquid safe haven (US Bonds, $, Equities maybe?). I don't see Ferraris on top of the list of stock market gambling grandmas.
     
  25. Bradwilliams

    Bradwilliams F1 Veteran
    Silver Subscribed

    #225 Bradwilliams, Jul 23, 2015
    Last edited: Jul 23, 2015
    Exactly, but that's one of the many rationalizations that speculators will throw out there to lure people in. I know the majority in this forum are tired of these value threads discussing prices. I hate it just as much as anybody else, as I'm a big-time car nut, and have been passionate about beautiful lines and great exhaust notes my whole life. I'd much rather discuss car-guy stuff. However, this is the hand we've all been dealt. Some people care, some don't. Perhaps I care too much. But, the fact remains that until these leeches (brokers and speculators) leave and quit screwing with our hobby, the threads will continue, and won't stop until the pop. That's why I'm heated about it. I just want them to LEAVE. The sooner they are gone, the sooner the hobby can continue being fun again. The current climate is driving many gearheads away, which is a dangerous to the hobby. Unfortunately, none of us can convince them to do so. But the Fed raising interest rates, economy, and banks that they are using to fuel this crap will convince them when they begin reposessing the cars, just like last time.
     

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