Do the prices of parts increase or decrease over time?

Yes you do. Check part prices for a pre 60's Ferrari.

 

In 2025 3-D printers will also be able to print larger steel objects.
You can order the transmission on one day, it will be printed the next day and the UPS guy will deliver it the day after. Costs: 1000$
Whishful thinking?

 

Wishful indeed.

Cost of production does not dictate price. The markets willingness to pay dictates price.

 

Ferrari parts prices never go down. Aftermarket availability can become reality on regular replacement items but even those will be priced at the highest price the market will pay and will follow the constantly increasing price of the factory parts.

Late 80's distributor caps used to be $150 or so and now they are $500-$1200. That is typical. It is a common replacement item so reproductions can be bought for $200+ and are made in Asia. They used to be junk but are finally a good part. Parts that are not common replacement items are less likely to be reproduced and when they are will be much closer to the factory part.

Bottom line is the cars never get less costly to repair if the parts needed are Ferrari specific. Your example of a transmission is a good example of a Ferrari specific part.

 

I can't see too many willing to shell-out $30K (or more) for a transmission.

I can foresee a lot of these cars becoming 'Parts Cars' much sooner than necessary under 'normal' conditions.

$300 clutch? OK.

$30K Transmission? Forget It!!!


What may get interesting is this. When history starts giving enough data points to give a general idea how many miles/kms average till failure, what is that going to do to resaleability, etc?

Could be real tough on owners whose cars are approaching that data point.

 

Lots have shelled out $23,000 or so for a 360 trans and that is an older, far cheaper car.

I think you seriously misjudge owners of $300,000 cars.

 

You may be able to order one,
They may be able to print one up,
But since one can't print up forged parts, the transmission would need replacing in a jiffy.

The gears, the shafts and some of the smaller stuff is all forged.

 

You may be very right.

I just couldn't imagine it.

I'm just a Poor Mouse.

 

Unless you are the only source, then it costs what YOU say it costs.

 

I have heard that these transmissions are sealed and only Ferrari can get into them to properly repair them. A 'core exchange' is done. So the original is swapped out.

Any truth to that?