Ferrari Market conditions Late 2016 | FerrariChat

Ferrari Market conditions Late 2016

Discussion in 'Ferrari Discussion (not model specific)' started by Mercenetti, Oct 30, 2016.

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  1. Mercenetti

    Mercenetti Rookie

    Mar 20, 2016
    16
    CA
    Full Name:
    Steven
    Hello Fchat,

    Where do you feel the overall market for Ferrari is right now?

    Do you feel the values on used vehicles is High, Medium, or Low?

    Do you feel the market is low and has been for awhile, leaning towards a possible uptrend?

    or high and finally simmering down pointing to a possible bigger drop.


    Not model specific overall market direction, and current status.


    Do you think that Publicaly trading RACE will affect the market of Ferrrari collections in the future?



    Thank-you.

    //VR//

    Mercenetti
     
  2. MalcQV

    MalcQV F1 Rookie

    Oct 11, 2004
    3,292
    Manchester, UK
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    Malc Holden
    In the UK there seems to have been little change. The prices across all Ferraris is still as high as ever.
     
  3. glob1971

    glob1971 Formula Junior

    Jul 3, 2011
    442
    Czech Republic
    Market is low, used Ferrari prices are declining except (very) rare cars holding their value.
     
  4. I'm 360 Canuck

    I'm 360 Canuck Formula 3

    Nov 21, 2015
    1,911
    Ontario, The Real One in Canada
    Full Name:
    Lars!
    asking prices same or higher, but cars not selling.
     
  5. Countachqv

    Countachqv Formula 3

    Apr 25, 2007
    2,350
    USA/France
    you should take a look at maserati GT, Aston Rapides and Bentley Continental GTs. These are the definition a of car not selling unless given away.
    The MAser and Bentley seem to go as some sellers get them low enough but for whatever reason, the Rapide are not being reduced by anyone and not selling and reamin at high prices. Some for almost 1 year now. I am looking for one in the 50s, 60s with 25K miles or less, price where they should be given their competition (panamera) and nothing touches that. Strange for an ASton not to be discounted.
     
  6. spirot

    spirot F1 World Champ

    Dec 12, 2005
    15,118
    Atlanta
    Full Name:
    Tom Spiro
    As we enter the winter months in the northern hemisphere - the auctions cycle is going down... you will have Barrett Jackson selling mid level cars - but no world breaking auctions until the spring.

    The US election could cause a flight to safety - meaning rare cars - "Enzo" era cars will spike up in the next 3-6 months with 288, GTO and F-40's continuing to rise. However the Fiat Era cars will continue to slide down. Testarossas and their ilk - I think will come back to a higher normalcy... lose 20% or so. 308 - 328 market the same thing. Rare, low mile time capsule cars will command the highest prices - but they are getting pretty rare and then they fall into the collectable category.

    the bad news will be in the 355 - 360, 430 market - these cars ( in my opinion) will continue to go down - and as they become more affordable - mtns issues will outpace the actual value - which will spiral the entry cost downward... much like the Dino, 308 - 328 - Mondial market over the past 15- 20 years. And the added effect that there were so many more made of those models - 360 / 430 variants... prices will be depressed for a while.

    V-12 cars will I think command a larger premium over the v-8 cars ... but not too much. rarity is what will drive this market - as cars get used - the prices will do down. ( I hope so because 599 is a bucket list for me.)

    458's will take the same path but it will take a while. I think you are seeing them in the $170k area now - I expect "high mileage" cars to come down much faster.... the modern cars are - sadly just used cars, and the more they make - the less the exclusivity and value retention. This is my 10. cents - of watching the Ferrari market since about 1979....
     
  7. rob lay

    rob lay Administrator
    Staff Member Admin Miami 2018 Owner Social Subscribed

    Dec 1, 2000
    63,974
    Southlake, TX
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    Rob Lay
    I think you need to isolate out the typical model cycles which we have discussed before.

    Overall after it seems almost everything took a swift 25% hit coming into this year things have stabilized. A quick correction or crash of the car market bubble didn't happen. Kind of like the stock market is just trading in a narrow flat range. There is some good news and there is some bad news, market can't decide which has more pull right now though.

    Even after some drops over last 18 months, prices are still many multiples higher right now than they were 10 years ago. How much pressure is still on that bubble I don't know? No one is anxious to put money into stocks, real estate, or commodities right now which all have seen nice appreciation over same time period.

    Probably more than any other time I have to say I don't know.
     
  8. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
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    May 27, 2004
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    FL
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    Sean
    Seems pretty accurate.

    Where do you see 550/575 prices going?
     
  9. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
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    May 27, 2004
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    Nothing more I could add to this, seems pretty spot on..
     
  10. Zanny1

    Zanny1 Formula 3
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    Dec 19, 2003
    1,137
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    Mike
    Try selling an Enzo - era V12 right now, and you'll have a answer to that question.

    Market is flat. 250 and 330 models not selling. Anywhere. Pricing off 25% and they still are not selling. Same can be said for Boxers. This is a great time to buy, if you are in the market for one of these cars. And, IMO, I don't think we've seen the end of the decline.

    Only market that appears hot is newer cars and limited production new models.
     
  11. spirot

    spirot F1 World Champ

    Dec 12, 2005
    15,118
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    Tom Spiro
    I think you will see 550's hovering around the 90K mark for average cars, and 120K for outstanding. add 15% for 575...
     
  12. spirot

    spirot F1 World Champ

    Dec 12, 2005
    15,118
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    Tom Spiro
    Enzo era cars are not as commoditized as one would think, however speculation has driven prices up on the "average" Enzo era cars. 250 GTE's 330's, and 375's... are over priced, and there are a lot of them compared to other Enzo era cars.

    if you have a 275 or 250 SWB - those cars are appreciating - slowly- but they are going to go up and up , and those deals are not well published... auction of these cars is big news... most are sold by "private treaty"... so its a very small world dealing in these cars.

    That said - we are not going to see 330GTC's ever being a $100K car again... or if it is, there will be other massive economic problems for the rest of us. Da Vinci's sketches do not trade lower... regardless of the economy.... same with Enzo era cars.
     
  13. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
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    May 27, 2004
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    Sounds reasonable, the ask on an outstanding car is 180 now and reasonable 125-145

    These ask prices represent last years peak.

    Saw one last weekend, each time I see one they grow on me more. What are they like to drive?
     
  14. RWP137

    RWP137 Formula 3

    Apr 29, 2013
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    IMO values are medium heading lower. Lots of inventory sitting which means prices will come down. This is across the board and not just Ferrari. Even the air-cooled Porsches are down.
     
  15. Themaven

    Themaven F1 Rookie

    Nov 2, 2014
    4,361
    Eastdown
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    Darius
    Sean, a 550 is a beautiful, satisfying car to drive. But it's less fun than our flat 12s.
     
  16. Texas Forever

    Texas Forever Eight Time F1 World Champ
    BANNED Rossa Subscribed

    Apr 28, 2003
    85,600
    Texas!
    If you grew up in the '60s, you'll love it. Frankly, the biggest joy is making a 2nd to 3rd shift under power without the hood dipping.
     
  17. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
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    May 27, 2004
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    The only similar cars i have tried were a 456 which I drove about 250 miles one day. It was really dissapointing, zero feedback steerign lots of body lean and pretty uninteresting to drive. I can say the same thing about the 599 I recently drove, well it didnt have body lean, it was really fast but felt muted but was big heavy and uninteresting.

    Somewehere along the line in my book ferraris became useable but concurrently just another car to drive if below 9/10ths. Yes they look dramatic, yes they are "fast" and they mostly sound great outside. But too much of the old magic seems to have been lost.

    So yeah a 550 would be interesting to try, I understand its more refined, more of a Gt than the flat 12 cars, but does it still have the magic.
     
  18. Themaven

    Themaven F1 Rookie

    Nov 2, 2014
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    I suspect you'd be disappointed by the 550 in that case. After the flat 12s, with that brilliant non-assisted steering, the light steering (with not brilliant feedback) of 550 is a shock. Different type of car.
     
  19. boxerman

    boxerman F1 World Champ
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    This is what I fear. Since I also have Loti steerign feedback is an important feature.
     
  20. ixlr8

    ixlr8 Formula Junior

    Aug 24, 2015
    354
    Eastern Shore- Virginia
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    Jim
    I found the stock steering in my 550 overly assisted, then I plugged in a steering ECU programmed with the FHP steering curves.... MUCH nicer to drive in the twisty back roads. I prefer the MSW custom steering curve when I hit the highways for a long trip.
     
  21. WJGESQ

    WJGESQ Formula 3

    Dec 30, 2004
    1,477
    Well when 328s and 308s are more than 360s, Economic Gravity has been offended.
     
  22. bertrand328

    bertrand328 Formula 3

    Jun 1, 2015
    1,620
    France
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    Bertrand
    Cant not agree with that !

    308 Vetro, carb & 328 is fantastic car. Sorry but not so many little boys dreaming of 360 F1.
    And in my point of view, a 250 Lusso will always be worth more than BB or 550
     
  23. Shark01

    Shark01 F1 Veteran

    Jun 25, 2005
    6,481
    A nice 328 SHOULD and WILL spend an eternity being worth more than a 360 starting at some point soon......screw gravity LOL
     
  24. Mercenetti

    Mercenetti Rookie

    Mar 20, 2016
    16
    CA
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    Steven
    Thank-you for all the input, Overall take. f

    Prices are at the "Mid Range" and it seems they are headed lower, due to a lot of sitting inventory.

    Thank-you.

    11/13/2016
     
  25. RWP137

    RWP137 Formula 3

    Apr 29, 2013
    1,606
    AZ
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    Rick
    Virtually every car in the for sale section has had at least one price drop and most are still for sale.
     

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