458 pricing, up or down? | Page 6 | FerrariChat

458 pricing, up or down?

Discussion in '458 Italia/488/F8' started by hsujohn, Sep 26, 2023.

This site may earn a commission from merchant affiliate links, including eBay, Amazon, Skimlinks, and others.

?

Are 458 prices going up or down?

  1. UP

    107 vote(s)
    46.7%
  2. Down

    122 vote(s)
    53.3%
  1. AD211

    AD211 Formula 3
    Owner Rossa Subscribed Silver Subscribed

    Aug 19, 2017
    1,204
    South Carolina
    Full Name:
    Andy
    Paging @toddcloud for one of his one word responses (without getting banned).


    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
    Ivan Drago likes this.
  2. todd cloud

    todd cloud Formula 3

    Jun 21, 2019
    1,044
    Full Name:
    Todd
    no
     
    RoadRonin and AD211 like this.
  3. SDSferrari

    SDSferrari Karting

    Apr 2, 2014
    112
    Southern California
    Also looks like "sticky buttons" are starting to happen.
     
    Rory breaker likes this.
  4. Eilig

    Eilig F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 31, 2001
    4,016
    Full Name:
    Tänzelndes Pferd
    Rory breaker likes this.
  5. Rory breaker

    Rory breaker Formula Junior

    Apr 17, 2017
    270
    Sold at $238k - https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2015-ferrari-458-spider-11/
    At 300k sticker, that’s $62k for 9 years of ownership. $6900/yr. $575/month.

    As expected, these cars are incredible bargains to own.
    When looking purely at depreciation, the opportunity cost of the cash allocation is more expensive than the depreciation of the vehicle!
    Factoring in other costs (fuel, maintenance, etc) which I think most would say on average is pretty acceptable for a Ferrari, there’s a reason none of us want to sell ours. One of the best cars ever made and the market reflects that. Cheers 458 owners :)
     
    NGooding and TheBigEasy like this.
  6. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 22, 2002
    19,218
    Says bid to, which means not sold.
     
  7. Mrpseudonym

    Mrpseudonym Formula Junior
    Silver Subscribed

    Nov 7, 2020
    585
    Sydney, Australia
    Demigod555 likes this.
  8. Jaguar36

    Jaguar36 Formula 3
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 8, 2010
    1,018
    Cherry Hill, NJ
    From the comments the high bidder ended up buying it. It was previously listed for $275k, I'd guess it sold around $250k. Personally I loved the spec, gorgeous color combination, lifter, and I don't like any CF except the seats.
     
    ttforcefed and Rory breaker like this.
  9. Rory breaker

    Rory breaker Formula Junior

    Apr 17, 2017
    270
    Thanks but semantics really, the point of the exercise is to gauge market value, and the 458 passed with flying colors given this very example. Market spoke and bid it to 238k ie market says value on this car at this very moment in time is 238k. The fact the reserve wasn’t hit further proves what a great job 458’s do at holding value, and for good reason.
     
  10. Um, I think it's actually the opposite.
     
    Shark01 likes this.
  11. Rory breaker

    Rory breaker Formula Junior

    Apr 17, 2017
    270
    Perhaps you are looking at a different link? Different data? Maybe you mis-posted here? Because every single thing about the auction further solidifies what strong values the 458 commands.

    The buying market literally said “i will pay you 62k less than you paid for that car 9 years ago, that’s 20% depreciation over NINE YEARS. Great offer right?” And the seller said “no thanks, I would rather keep it”.

    That’s an annual depreciation of 2.3%, on average, over those 9 years. The average depreciation for vehicles on the road is SEVEN TIMES that.
    Can’t be any clearer.

    What you shared is in fact nearly perfect evidence of the strength of the 458 market. Whether or not the seller decided to sell, this car dropped 2% a year over 9 years and that’s well under average. Thank you for sharing the BAT link.
     
    3POINT8 and 430jm like this.
  12. Look a the topic title of this post.

    It's asking the question of the trend line of the 458.

    Auction houses, like BAT, set reserves at what they think the market will support for a car of similar ilk, in this case a 15k mile 2015 458 Spider. The market in that auction obviously spoke. It did not meet reserve.

    (Now, you may or may not agree with how reserves are set, either by BAT or any other auction houses, but it is one data point based on arguably the most objective basis we have (i.e., some combo of historical data and algorithmic calculations.)

    Hence, the trend line could be presumed to be trending down, which is what this post is about.

    If you want to discuss whether a 458 is a good investment, or holding value in a static sense, that's fine, but this is not the thread for it.
     
    LVP488, Shark01, AD211 and 1 other person like this.
  13. Rory breaker

    Rory breaker Formula Junior

    Apr 17, 2017
    270
    Thanks for clarifying, that’s helpful in framing the conversation.

    To say an overall depreciation perspective is not warranted in a depreciation trend discussion is likely the start of why you continue to question the factual direction of the trend. Perhaps looking at the data leads you to a conclusion you aren’t fond of, so sure from that perspective I can see why you would choose to disassociate overall depreciation in a discussion about trend.

    And to that end - good luck in your effort, cheers :)
     
  14. Challenge

    Challenge Formula 3

    Sep 27, 2002
    1,999
    PA
    Full Name:
    Kevin
    Based only on those who are aware of and registered to bid on BAT, that group of buyers was willing to pay $243K for this car (w/ buyer's premium).
     
    Rory breaker likes this.
  15. 3POINT8

    3POINT8 F1 Veteran
    Rossa Subscribed Silver Subscribed

    Jan 23, 2014
    5,167
    BAT did 1.4 billion last year. I think it's pretty well known.
     
  16. 05F430F1

    05F430F1 F1 Rookie
    BANNED

    Oct 22, 2005
    3,600
    Fort Lauderdale, Florida
    Full Name:
    Todd
    BAT will be gone within 2 years… just another money making scheme is all it is.


    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
  17. mkraft3003

    mkraft3003 Formula 3
    Silver Subscribed

    Aug 20, 2016
    2,365
    Tampa, Fl
    Um, they’ve been around since 2010. You may just only have heard of them since Covid?
     
    3POINT8, 9650max and willcrook like this.
  18. HeyYa

    HeyYa Rookie

    Dec 30, 2023
    8
    California
    #145 HeyYa, Jan 26, 2024
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2024
  19. 05F430F1

    05F430F1 F1 Rookie
    BANNED

    Oct 22, 2005
    3,600
    Fort Lauderdale, Florida
    Full Name:
    Todd
    Know them well. Prediction stands.


    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
    TheBigEasy likes this.
  20. TheBigEasy

    TheBigEasy F1 World Champ
    Consultant

    Jun 21, 2005
    18,307
    California
    Full Name:
    Ethan Hunt
    What about Cars and Bids. The YouTube Doug guy
     
  21. Eilig

    Eilig F1 Rookie
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 31, 2001
    4,016
    Full Name:
    Tänzelndes Pferd
    Agree. The few interactions I've had w/them were overwhelmingly negative. Sooner or later it catches up w/them...
     
  22. pizzadude

    pizzadude Formula 3

    Feb 20, 2001
    1,272
    Indianapolis, IN
    Bat gone within 2 years? I’d be shocked if that happens. They have gotten huge. Too big in my opinion. There are cars on there that to me seem like Craigslist or autotrader cars. Also sometimes weird toys etc. That said I’ve sold 6 cars on there and all of the sales and auctions went very smooth.
     
    mkraft3003, 430jm and AD211 like this.
  23. mkraft3003

    mkraft3003 Formula 3
    Silver Subscribed

    Aug 20, 2016
    2,365
    Tampa, Fl
    Ever since eBay died for cars I don’t see BAT going anywhere for a while. They have the user base and infrastructure to last a while.
     

Share This Page