ANY OPINION? HOW THE VIRUS CHANGED THE COLLECTOR CAR WORLD: TOSSING OUT THE PERFECTIONISTS The collector car market got to be the way it was (before Corona virus) incrementally. With genuine prewar classics, for instance, a lot of the cars that looked presentable had to be re-done in order not to get points off when being judged at the stricter concours, sometimes at great expense. The top prize sometimes depended on a single point on correctness. I predict, when Planet Earth emerges from the scourge of this virus, and we look around at who's still standing, a lot of the old stickler-or-accuracy rules will go out the window, Why? Because the virus reminded us life is short, too short to search for five years to get the same number 250GT engine your Ferrari was built with to replace the one you have now that is one or two SN off. So big concours will still be held but I predict the old criterion will be tossed out at least for the first two or three years because we as car enthusiasts are just glad to be surviving and enjoying cars again. PROJECT CARS With this disease being especially precarious for those over 50, and a good many car buffs being upwards in age, project cars will be re-assessed insofar as to the timeline that was originally planned ("I'll have the engine rebuilt when I can find an OSCA guy," etc.) Think of a car owner in France in 1939. Sure it would be nice to get that '30s Bugatti running but German troops have just crossed the border so you have higher priorities. (I always picture King Zog of Romania fleeing with his family in a Bugatti Royale)There is bit of that crisis atmosphere. Instead project cars will be rolled out to auctions on trailers and sold with all the parts in box behind it because owners over 50 realize the virus could come back, they may not be so lucky the next time. Might as well sell it, and buy something turn key ready AUCTIONS Nobody for the next year will want to go into a crowded indoor auction venue. So the auctions will be online, with more of the higher value cars having a big screen behind it showing the car running and driving. Values will be all over the place, not reflect the steady gain we saw over decades in the pre-virus prices. There will be hardly any reserves because the sellers of middle class cars were counting on that car being a pillar of their net worth and now its value is debatable. LEASE CLASSIC COPIES With electric cars having no emissions there will be shops that put classic car bodies on ready made electric car platforms so you enjoy the dream car you always wanted without the worry of maintaining or smog testing an old car whose parts may be hard to find. Engine sounds can be artificially matched by commuter from recordings, MUSEUMS People will be scared to be in museums so car museums will have outdoor events, parades of their cars (but still be able to write off the cost of the museum). SHIFT IN POPULARITY While there will still be plenty of pre-1939 cars in museums the new emphasis will be '50s, and '60s cars. and less people who want to see a Duesenberg or Cord. A "classic:"will be a '65 Ford Mustang. MIDDLE CLASS COLLECTORS will be forced to sell their project if they have a jog that is overly affected by the virus--say at an amusement park or sports stadium. You can hardly justify chroming that '57 Caddy bumper if you can't make the house payment. Think of a lifeboat at sea being threatened by being swamped by high waves, You don't want anything on board you don't need. CARS 'N COFFEE THE MODEL These are fun to go to.It's a run-what-ypu-brung situation. There will have to be police to ticket those w do burnouts but this might be the format for car shows now because nobody is going to plan a careful post-restoration appearance two years from now when we don't know if they will still be on earth. NEW CLASSICS Car companies will bite the dust, because some had parts being made in China and can't get them. There are cars in the showroom now that will be cars without a maker a year from now. So if you like to have something unusual, get the car you want now because its maker might not survive the fallout from the plague. COLLECTOR CAR INSURANCE will be hard to get, because heretofore if your'57 Tbird went up in smoke, the insurance adjusters could safely estimate what that car is worth but if there's a plunge in collector car values, all bets are off in getting new policies to cover what you have in the car. EUROPEAN COLLECTORS will dump those vintage cars in order to be able to save heir family businesses, some of which were 50% or more dependent on tourism. The family might want them to save the family business more than that old Ferrari they've been restoring for 30 years. VINTAGE CAR RACING Forget any rules about what was run in that car back when it was new, The organizers will be so glad to see they can fill a grid, that they will forget about any attempt at authenticity. You;ll also see replica Cobras running against real Cobras . Car shows will only be able to let X number of people in, so say at the IN entrance there will be 200 people in line but none can enter until the counter the EXIT records someone left. IN SUM... Things they are a-changin'. The "new normal" is that you can count on the fact that things are not going to be like they were. Everybody is going to think short term, a year or two ahead, that's it. The new leitmotif will be "Have fun while you can" and forget about that long range project because we can't count on stability on the old car field.