If McLaren hadn't been excluded....

Ferrari 204
McLaren 203 (With points deduction from Hungary)
McLaren 218 (No points deduction)

 

This season would have been about as legit as Lindsay Lohan's tries at rehab.

 

I think the real question is, could McDaimler have won without stealing the 780 page document? We may never know how far Stepney went at trying to sabotage Ferrari, and we may never know how much the information McDaimler stole from Ferrari helped them. But we are already being made privy to the secret "air" Ferrari used as well as thier speacial braking system. Either of those could have given McDaimler an advantage when you dealing in hundreds of seconds. So instead of asking how they might have done if they hadnt been excluded, your question seems to be asking how they would have done if they hadnt been caught. Asked that way,they would have won of course. Asked the other way, no one could ever know.

 

The points they lost in Hungary had nothing to do with the spy case, therefore FERRARI would have won by 1 point!!!!!