Investment Predictions

That’s easy, Any VS or limited/numbered cars. Anything else is speculation.

 

There is another strong advice by many owners: the car they own (specially if it's a 458 ), no matter what.

 

depends what you mean by recent, nothing since the 812c will appreciate imo and I even think the 296 VS won't appreciate - (pista's below list in the uk atm), the market and peoples buying decisions is different now

 

If your looking to buy a depreciating asset as an “investment” you might want to seek advice from an investment broker. Cars are not investments.

Occasionally one can make money from a car purchase but typically they are meant to be driven and they depreciate.

 

Regular production cars (458, 488, F8, 812, etc) will NOT be long term collectibles (using a metric of MSRP + inflation over time). They make too damn many….and 40+ years of data backs this up.

Track specials are marginal. They make a lot more of these now (Speciale, Pista) than they used to (Challenge Stradale, and even that still hasn’t met the basic metric).

So what you are left with are truly special halo cars (Enzo, 599 GTO, LaFerrari, Speciale Aperta)….THESE are blue chip collectibles.

 

Maybe cars that are relatively under the radar now, like the F430 or 575 F1, could be better bets than those already subject to speculative operations (because for the latter, a market downturn could be painful).

 

F430 Spider Manual
550 Maranello
612 Scaglietti Manual

 

Any regular ferrari from 2000 until 2010 has fully depreciated and will hold value. Even if they drop further it won’t be by a huge amount. Still a poor investment because it will cost a pretty penny to keep them in good running order long term. However the enjoyment is priceless!

 

IMHO, the post-2000 cars are likely to be sandwiched between serious classics like that 1958 TR, 365 GTB/4, 288 GTO, etc,, and the hyper performance cars of the next decade. As an obvious example, do you think the F1 gearbox in the 599 GTB/GTO is going to be as desirable or maintainable in 10 years as the three pedal manual in the 288 GTO? I doubt it. I would draw a line after the F50 in terms of long term collectibles.

If you insist on newer stuff, your best chance is a limited run model, as others have posted, and go with two-seaters.

No crystal ball here. I wouldn’t make a car a central investment.


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360 GATED cars with clean car fax. IMO the 430's have rocketed in price already, but the 360's haven't gotten to their peak yet. If you can pick up a nice, clean gated 360 for between 110 - 150K you won't lose money in the future IMO. These numbers I bet will go up 20-30% over the next 5 years or so.

 

You didn't define "recent", but I would take that to mean within the last 10 years. In that case the only cars I could see that would have any chance of appreciation in just 5 years would maybe be the SF90 and any of the SP models. Within those models, options and colors would have a neglible impact on value, as beggars can't be choosers.

If you are looking for an investment for the next 5 years, buy the S&P index and fougeddaboudit.

 

It’s been said on here that you make money when you buy. Not when you sell. I bought my factory gated car with sport seats for a song in 2010 when the world was ending. I could sell it for nearly double today.

As far as cars built in the last 5 years appreciating in the next 5… no. I don’t think so with the exception of the special series cars. Too many made under conditions of cheap money. Unless there is massive inflation to drive up prices, compare to inflation I don’t see any investments.

 

Guess what ,the 246 Dino, the one they called the the Fiat/ Ferrari, you know the one they made too many of, it will never be a collector. It's not about only numbers.

 

My experience and observation is that maintenance, insurance, and depreciation/appreciation, and taking inflation into account nearly always have most of the street cars in money pits averaged over time with short exceptional periods. The return on investment for me is smiles per mile. I got into F-cars and Astons starting in 1980. And I drive my cars each at least a few thousand miles per year.

 

Such sage wisdom. It should be printed on a sign on our garage door.

 

Ferraris are not investments, they are cars.

If you need to lie to your SO, go for it, but don't lie to yourself.

 

This is why the regular production classic European exotics are likely a better store of value than the late models. There were only 6k of the “common” 328 GTS made over four years which is low compared to the 360 and its successors. The 246 is similarly scarce enough. Ferrari now pumps out 10,000+ cars annually.

Investment? Probably not, but huge enjoyment, and life is a one-way trip. I would rather pay for Ferrari service than, say, the depreciation on a new Maserati, Aston or Jaguar.



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Exception, not the rule….and exceptions are impossible to predict. Hence rarity plays a huge role in valuations

 

Depends, owners of blue chip collectibles will have a laugh at your expense. Like it or not, collectible cars are now an asset class.