is the bubble due to burst? | Page 163 | FerrariChat

is the bubble due to burst?

Discussion in 'Vintage Ferrari Market' started by PFSEX, Jan 18, 2013.

This site may earn a commission from merchant affiliate links, including eBay, Amazon, Skimlinks, and others.

  1. Scott98

    Scott98 F1 Rookie
    Owner Silver Subscribed

    Nov 3, 2004
    2,924
    Weston, FL
    Full Name:
    Scott
    Unfortunately, no. Maybe in 30 years but that might really be pushing it for me.
     
  2. energy88

    energy88 Three Time F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    Jan 21, 2012
    32,154
    West of Fredericksburg, VA
    Full Name:
    John
    A lot of truth to that.

     
    PPW and Texas Forever like this.
  3. Texas Forever

    Texas Forever Eight Time F1 World Champ
    BANNED Rossa Subscribed

    Apr 28, 2003
    85,600
    Texas!
    For prices to keep going up, don't you need new buyers? A Dino is not Millennial friendly. It is a real car.
     
    energy88 likes this.
  4. 19633500GT

    19633500GT F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 9, 2010
    13,072
    Blueberry
    Full Name:
    Muffin-Tops
    :rolleyes:

    It's a car, get in it and drive, when it breaks, fix it.
     
  5. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 22, 2002
    19,255
    dinos have been on a decline since they were $80k, literally....when was the last time a dino traded for $80k?
     
  6. Marcel Massini

    Marcel Massini Two Time F1 World Champ
    Honorary

    Mar 2, 2005
    24,860
    Millenials want an iphone with wheels.

    Marcel Massini
     
    bamaman, wiley355, Eilig and 4 others like this.
  7. Texas Forever

    Texas Forever Eight Time F1 World Champ
    BANNED Rossa Subscribed

    Apr 28, 2003
    85,600
    Texas!
    I can just see a bubblehead calling an iGenius at an Apple store saying my Dino won't start.
     
  8. 19633500GT

    19633500GT F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 9, 2010
    13,072
    Blueberry
    Full Name:
    Muffin-Tops
    You're off by a generation. We're old now...
     
  9. 19633500GT

    19633500GT F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 9, 2010
    13,072
    Blueberry
    Full Name:
    Muffin-Tops
    Everyone knows you just have to lick the battery leads and voila, she fires right up! Good as new.
     
    Ryan S., turbo-joe and Texas Forever like this.
  10. Texas Forever

    Texas Forever Eight Time F1 World Champ
    BANNED Rossa Subscribed

    Apr 28, 2003
    85,600
    Texas!
    Is there a youtube video on fixing Dinos? Screw that, is there a youtube video on how to drive a stickshift?
     
    turbo-joe and 19633500GT like this.
  11. tx246

    tx246 F1 Veteran
    Owner Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 4, 2003
    6,660
    Texas
    Full Name:
    Shawn
    The biggest group of current Dino buyers are in their 40’s and 50’s
     
    ERA and Texas Forever like this.
  12. 375+

    375+ F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    Dec 28, 2005
    13,648
    I respectfully disagree Kenny. While market values of many Enzo-era Ferrari appear to be flat or stable over the last 10 years, the value of the dollar(and other currencies) has declined. 275s may still be $2 million + or - but 2024 dollars are worth a fraction of 2014 dollars. Many of these cars have actually declined. GTCs look particularly weak. My 2 cents.
     
    PPW, turbo-joe and Texas Forever like this.
  13. 19633500GT

    19633500GT F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 9, 2010
    13,072
    Blueberry
    Full Name:
    Muffin-Tops
    The price/inflation numbers are correct ($2M-2014 is $2.5M-2024 dollars), but to me that is not significant enough to bring that car (275) back to attainable territory for 99% of the world. I agree by some specific models, absolutely (the GTC is a good one, and I agree that is a pretty big decline vs. 10 year ago values). I'm cheering FOR it, just remember :) I would love to buy a 330GTC for $100K and a 275 at $4-500K, I just don't ever see it getting close to that, if ever.
     
    Octonion, turbo-joe and 375+ like this.
  14. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Aug 22, 2002
    19,255
    And thats true for every asset money can access. The guy who has prolonged buying a dino to price has forgone a ton of opportunity cost (enjoying life) since the original post.
     
  15. Octonion

    Octonion Formula Junior

    Dec 30, 2020
    344
    USA
    turbo-joe and 375+ like this.
  16. Octonion

    Octonion Formula Junior

    Dec 30, 2020
    344
    USA
    Some data from Classic.com/Hagerty and a quote from Hagerty 2023 Bull market list to go with it. The bubble is leaking. It has not burst and probably wont unless some cars like Dinos are singled out. Just like picking stocks, this is a game that will reward some and punish many.


    "We've learned a few things from seven years of publishing this list," said Brian Rabold, Vice President of Automotive Intelligence. "No matter which direction the market is headed, there are always cars that move ahead. These opportunities exist across decades, price bands, and genres, but ultimately, we always encourage people to buy what they love."


    Image Unavailable, Please Login Image Unavailable, Please Login
     
    johnei and Texas Forever like this.
  17. Octonion

    Octonion Formula Junior

    Dec 30, 2020
    344
    USA
    Mecum reported record sales at their 2024 Kissimmee auction of $275 Million. So from a money inflow point of view, year over year, its still increasing. Sell through rate decrease can be attributed to the low information speculators stepping away for now.
    Image Unavailable, Please Login
     
  18. readplays

    readplays F1 Rookie

    Aug 22, 2008
    2,614
    New York City
    Full Name:
    Dave Powers
    Dale means TikTok.
    :D:p
     
    Texas Forever likes this.
  19. Octonion

    Octonion Formula Junior

    Dec 30, 2020
    344
    USA
    According to this summary (attached image), TikTok will be the dominant social media platform for commerce in 2024. Also, apparently the "Experts" believe that the USA will skip a recession which means that the later part of 2024 will see some slowdown in the slowdown. The 2024 election results will be key to how the markets will change direction.
    Image Unavailable, Please Login
     
    Texas Forever and readplays like this.
  20. Texas Forever

    Texas Forever Eight Time F1 World Champ
    BANNED Rossa Subscribed

    Apr 28, 2003
    85,600
    Texas!
    Prices in vintage Ferraris rarely go down by much (forgetting the ‘90s). But they might not go up much. That said, they are cars not investments.


    Sent from my iPhone using FerrariChat
     
    nis1973, Marcel Massini and readplays like this.
  21. Octonion

    Octonion Formula Junior

    Dec 30, 2020
    344
    USA
    Absolutely true. The textbook definiton of an investment is something that produces recurring cash flow. Cars only lead to recurring expenses :)
     
    energy88, Texas Forever and JackCongo like this.
  22. 19633500GT

    19633500GT F1 World Champ
    Rossa Subscribed

    Nov 9, 2010
    13,072
    Blueberry
    Full Name:
    Muffin-Tops
    Maybe semantics, but that is not the definition, as 'cash flow' can be a constant, or a horizon, with all focus on a profitable result.

    Cars absolutely lead to recurring expenses (ask me how into the red my '88 M3 has gotten...:oops:) BUT some may see that investment into a tangible as something to enjoy while either 'cash flowing up, or cash flowing down' but bought with a GOAL of UP, and the opposite of say buying stock XYZ for $25/share and watching the "cash flow" go down to $10/share.

    We'd probably agree though humans are good at one thing: finding things they like to throw burning piles of money at, while trying to have fun :)
     
    Octonion, JackCongo and Texas Forever like this.
  23. energy88

    energy88 Three Time F1 World Champ
    Silver Subscribed

    Jan 21, 2012
    32,154
    West of Fredericksburg, VA
    Full Name:
    John
    And of course, there will be a few exceptions... :eek:

     
    Texas Forever likes this.
  24. paulchua

    paulchua Cat Herder
    Lifetime Rossa Owner

    Jul 1, 2013
    16,460
    Menlo Park, CA
    Full Name:
    Paul Chua
    This, I’ve always told chicken littles, anything can happen, up or down. Nobody knows. Just peruse this thread though, and you’ll find no shortage of folks that say they dont *think* market will go down, but it *will* go down.

    11 years is a long time to hold that position.

    Just asking them to own up.
     
  25. DennisForza

    DennisForza Formula 3

    May 23, 2006
    1,814
    Arlington, VA
    Full Name:
    Dennis
    How the markets change direction over the next 9 months will be key to how the 2024 election plays out.

    The election is not going to have any immediate effect on Enzo era Ferrari prices.
     

Share This Page