Prior year performance is no indicator. Unless, of course, you're Red Bull. MB has the talent to be a top tier team and with Lewis a WDC is not out of the question. Whether the large number of chefs will help or hurt will be interesting to see but without a good car they're going nowhere.
W02 had some interesting ground-breaking stuff in it, granted the build quality was not that great. W02s rear suspension idea was copied on several cars this year. But yeah, W03 build is lightyears ahead which is a testament to MB's seriousness in the sport.
I still maintain that even IF Mercedes has a good car, they will fall by the wayside in the development race. You can talk about how the DDRS hampered their development but it's not like the W02 developed very well either.
This statement reminds from a point raised in a Garry Anderson article (believe this was previously referrenced in another thread here on fchat): http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/20091800 I think he touches on it toward the end. Not sure if this is the correct article, but the point I took away was that a team is better served by having a single visionary ala RB and Newey instead of the many engineers' solutions conflicting with one another. Too many cooks and all that....
I think you are completely underestimating the influence of the drivers: while I agree that they don't design the cars their feedback is now with testing gone more important than ever A driver who can give precise feedback is now even more important than ever since now every practice session counts.
All due respect ferraripilot, I've got to rant. AMG has had many failings, but the single biggest in my view, has been the utter ineffectiveness of in season development and blaming everything under the sun for their problems. In hindsight, W01 wasn't a horrible car. It lost ground while they developed it and gained ground when they stopped. But this team blamed the car as fundamentally flawed AND that failing on 2009's championship fight. They abandoned it to put extra time in on W02 and promised better. Early on, W02 was hailed as an improvement on W01... but then - had some unexpected issues? Like running cool, or eating tires or going fast... generally, pretty important in race cars. Again- they lost ground while developing and quit on it early to concentrate on W03. They blamed that on engineering staff and team structure- and hired a bunch of big names. in the end W02 finished 4th - no better than W01, it too, was abandoned early to work on W03 with the stated goal, however unambitous, was simply to improve on 4th....with "title contention" delayed to 2013 (HA!). Again, W03 starts out looking decent.... and this joke of a team asserts that they need to stop all development to "understand .....the tires"???? Really- blaming the tires every other team is using??? Sauber/Perez can almost go a full race distance on these horrible tires and Mercedes has to stop all development to "understand" them... with all those new top shelf engineers? AND- they came 15 times closer to finishing 6th than 3rd? They went BACKWARD not forward! And then the "Lewis" press release, in a round about way, suggests that what the team was missing was a top shelf young driver?? And this new hopeful's first press release was say how excited he was and to quash Brawns previous expectation that 2013 would be a contention year. I find it unfathomable to objectively view this journey and see hope.... but then hopes blessing is that it requires no basis in fact or logic.. (no offense intended to any remaining fans or ferraripilot- I'm just so done with this sorry excuse of a team!!!) My guess is Schumacher knew this team was going nowhere next year... Lewis was having his issues at McLaren and drank the Mercedes "we look really good on paper" kool-aid and acted on emotion rather than logic. Whitmarsh eluded as much, and what was Lewis supposed to say..."wtf was I thinking???" After 3 years of wasting hope on this team- I'm done. Lauda? Hope? He's a driver.... If the most successful driver in F1 history couldn't raise up this team and essentially quit while trying- what hope is there for Lauda or Lewis? They need a singular minded design and development leader like Newey or a Byrne... not a driver. At least next year I can go back to cheering solely for Ferrari- who despite some weaknesses, always shows up in the beginning, middle and end. Alonso is even earning my respect lately. As the MS story unfolded, I was hoping for an Alonso/Schumi team up to bring the fight to Redbull... but mostly to prove Schumi wasn't Merc's real problem! Rant off.
Some interesting points made, but anyone implying MB are still doomed because the cars they built to date have not gone as planned are directly contradicting F1 as a competition in general. Every team starts out building sub-par cars and eventually builds decent machines or quits. As far as the 'corporate' teams are concerned, I still fail to understand how anyone can claim some teams have zero people to answer to, everyone -even the pope- has someone to answer to. Corporate teams are responsible for BGP001, BMW who after Macca disqualified scored a 2nd place in WCC in '07, and BMW had a wonderful car '08 which in hindsight they shouldn't have stopped development with, how are these bad things? MB's car development is directly related to the development compatibility of the car. W01 basically had a skeleton crew running the show, can't expect much. W02 was flawed with its short wheelbase which in turn caused high CoG fuel tanks, not much can physically be done with this car to make it work, period. W03 was flawed by its DDRS system which to delete would require a rethink of a massive portion of the car, but it was effective in the beginning of the season under light loads and at certain tracks, when it felt like it. My point is that MB have undoubtedly evolved and worked with what they have had to work with. F2012s crux was its exhaust system, and Ferrari wrapped their heads around that issue and solved it just before the halfway point. W03s DDRS was not an issue that could simply be fixed by deducing a new exhaust solution, so MB worked with what they had which was unfortunately a very limited machine. So judging MB's in season development based on W03 I believe is a waste as W03 is physically a car they could not do much to. Now if W04 is vanilla as it should be and MB drop the ball on development, then they have issues. One cannot deny MB's build quality of W03 though, it's on par with the Mclaren and certain superior to how F2012 looked most of the season.
Great rant - Very well stated...... Are you sure you're not straight out of MB's PR department?. Seriously, development compatability? You're saying it wasn't capable of being developed? With the huge brain trust now there? Really? Seems more likely to me that they simply lost their way with the thing. The DDRS may have been a blind alley, but I can't accept that's what caused 'em to go backwards over the year. Even Ferrari (the most clueless team on the grid if many are to be believed ) managed to get Clifford somewhat working by the end.... And it was apparently "fundamentally flawed" from the start. At least W03 looked OK out of the box. I admire your unwavering support for 'em, I really do, but the silver blinders really have distorted your outlook IMO. Be interesting to see what MerHam does next year. He'll either grow up (ala Fred at Ferrari) or there's gonna be one huge trainwreck. Either way, should be fun. Cheers, Ian
I dont think that this is always true. The Renault team was fine. BMW looked good for some time. And Ferrari is still there.
+1. Ferrari stopped being a 'garage' outfit not long after Fiat took over. They are a worldwide marketing empire. Not an F1 team. Thats just part of the brand.
Don't be so literal. The garagiste spirit is alive at Enfeild (Renault) and at Sauber (BMW). These days the Scuderia is the corporate outfit.
Haha. I'm absolutely serious. F2012 only needed its exhaust system changed and it was running infinitely better than in its original configuration once this was done, there was nothing else really 'wrong' with this car after that was done other than it just wasn't as quick as Red Bull on qualy pace but it arguably had best race pace. And remember, ALL F2012 had changed to make it win were sidepods and exhaust configurations. They did not need to redesign half the car due to some gizmo they were trying to employ. I don't think some are understanding how deep W03s DDRS system works. To remove the system PROPERLY, the suspension geometry must be reconsidered at the front, the front wing must be entirely redesigned, the ride height and general setup of the car would require changes, rear wing pylons redesigned, newly designed engine covers to the back of the car to compensate for removal of carbon fiber piping for DDRS. This would have been in essence W04. Such massive changes mid-season make about as much sense as a chocolate teapot. Rather than redesigning the wheel, MB put resources to W04 then pushed W03 in its current state as much as it could be pushed. W03s suspension system on its own will have laid excellent groundwork for W04 so we'll see what direction they take the car, but my guess is it will be very simple without any clever gadgetry this go around.
Exactly. They are essentially team Fiat who call themselves Ferrari. Point is that everyone answers to someone. WHo would you be more afraid of, the Daimler board or Luca? I pick Luca, that guy is Enzo reincarnated as a modern head-chopping business expert. Think, Italian Donald Trump if you like. How about Didi and his actuaries breathing down your neck about why the F1 team hasn't paid for all those championships its won yet? Yet the company is worth only $4b and their market share is quickly deteriorating!!! Didi funds hundreds or atheletes and events all over, but Pepsi and Coke are hot on their heals.
When Renault started back in 1979 they never won the title, so they became an engine supplier and won it with the garagistes. Only 25 years did they win it as a full team. BMW was a mess with Theissen constantly torn between duties as a corporate board member and the interests of the team. They played the same lousy PR game MB/Brawn/Haug is doing with their 3 year plan to the WDC. Just one more year of testing, the next car will be it blablabla. And then they screwed Sauber, but that's another story and luckily one where Peter got the last laugh. As for Ferrari: You cant compare the Ferrari car manufacturing to those of "real" cars like MB, BMW etc. They are still a midsize company and their F1 team is a small shop. AND their culture is completely the opposite: F1 is first, cars second. Not a car manufacturer who decides to dabble in F1 for PR reasons but a F1 company who needs $ from selling road cars to survive (comparable to the previous Lotus, which I also see as a garagiste and not a car company, or even McLaren today).
And yet it produced the teams bests results to date. ..and who's fault was it that W02 was "flawed"? W02 was flawed because of design decisions the team made after it's experience with W01. Are we to presume the design staff was 1) oblivious or 2) negligent - that certain design paths are less adaptable than others? Or that a tall fuel tank raises COG? They have no one to blame but themselves, period. agian, DDRS was their design choice but, that this was THE flaw is your assertion- certainly not fact. W03 was flawed by much more than this alone. Their earo development has been questioned (see 50% vs 60% tunnel testing), as was down force numbers (rear especially which limitted front wing and contributed to tire problems), as was exhaust development and again high COG (remember the relocation of all the brake hardware to underhung???)- and lets not forget reliability or pit stop numbers and speed? And herein is where the rose colored glasses effect perception. "evolved" is a stretch...It's far more accurate to say MB "tried" some things AND most did NOT work. If they "evolved" at all as a team, it is also true that relative to their closest peers, they regressed. As far as "working with what they had" and "not being able to do much with it"... as with all prior efforts that fell short..."they had what they designed" and to complain about being stuck with it is self indicting.
^^^ +1. I'm still willing to take on bets that LH won't finish in the top 4 in next year's WDC race. Merc just doesn't have it. They might beat Lotus next year but I doubt they'll be in contention for the WCC.
I just can´t see the difference between the Toleman/Benetton owned by Renault and the BAR/Brawn owned by Mercedes. One was succesful and the other not (yet), but the problem probably doesn´t lie in whoever the owner is. I think that the term "garagiste" doesn´t fit to any modern F1 team. All of them are multimillion corporations with hundreds of workers and complex infrastructure. One can be owned by a guy called Ron Dennis and the other by Mercedes-Benz AG, but in both there is a boss and hordes of sub-bosses, etc... As long as the bosses of Mercedes-Benz AG mind their own business and let the experts in the F1 business that they´ve hired do their job, everything should be fine.