What do you guy's think the "yearly" % the countach rises? Maybe in the last 15-20 years? Like we have said, an lp400 could be had for 85k 10 years ago (or 12). Their value today? Divide by the 10yr........ S1? 2,3. DD etc......
Pete, I'd say on most variants, 20 years is too long a timeline, as we were still coming off the peak, so the anniversary cars, for example, are 0%, or even negative. Should we start from the basement, say, 12 years ago? Is that accurate? Should be noted, that Roy's blue 88 DD, was up for sale for 225 in 1991/2. Value today roughly equivalent, or possibly 10% less.
This proves that statistics can tell you anything you want to hear. 15 sounds good to me. How about this for a question; When will anniversary cars get back to their selling prices at the peak (I do recall north of $350k, and possibly $400k?)? Unlimited timeline available. I'll give the almost obligatory, "leave the possibility of hyperinflation out of it" qualifier. Go.
This is getting interesting. How much did the 25th Anniversaries actually sell for back then when everything was peaking? Any copies of old ads out there? Maybe I should dig up my old Hemmings Classifieds...
Yep, I have all the DuPonts laying around from 1989 to 1994, and some scattered for the next decade after that. I can go through a few at a time, snap a pic, and post. Will take time though, I have little kids.
Ok, thinking about Roy's thread, which I agree with his value on the blue car,.......... BUT why is it acceptable for a dealer/broker/flipper to recoup their investment but with an owner, who some say will be upside down, be SOL trying to recoup theirs? We've all said a dozen times about certain cars. Some suggest to stay away from because of the money you have to dump into it. Perfect example, the Bob W twinnie Countach S1......most of us said to stay away (though some said that for their own benefit of trying get the car, and/ or at a good price). If I got it and restored it, then went to sell it.....you all would be like you can't get your money back. But if it was a dealer...............
Peter, Brokers don't pay what sellers ask. It's the wholesale model. If I buy a car from a dealer and trade in my Countach plus cash. Even though I was told I'm getting x$ for the car, the broker puts it down for x-%. That money comes from profit of the car I bought. The broker then sells the car for x+% and has made his profit on the spread of that car. The brokers car should be more expensive than a private sellers. In numbers: Market price for car is 115k Trade in value given 100k Broker only values the trade at 80k (taking 20 from the new car sale) Broker sells the car for 120k On the books he makes 40k However on the new car he sold for the trade, he likely made a smaller profit to accommodate the trade in. So when you look at a broker, you cant look at his one car, you have to see the whole picture. Hope that made some sense. Look at blue book prices retail bra wholesale to understand the spread.
I made an offer on it (The Bob car) awhile back. Since he wouldn't say a price, I made a reasonable first offer (55k) considering all of the modifications, not running, possible serious engine problems etc. No counter offer ever came back. Peter, you have to trust your gut instinct.
I've got a great publication from 1989 called the Tower Report. Sept 89 might have been the peak, I don't know, but here are the countach numbers from that issue: lp400 $120,000-165,000 YTD +50% lp400s $130,000-160,000 YTD +75.7% lp5000s $135,000-170,000 YTD +79.4% lp5000qv $140,000-210,000 YTD +71% Anniversary $325,000-425,000 -- I guess Aniversarys were new at the time so no YTD But anything that goes up 80% in 9 months...that's probably a bubble. Fred
Thanks for posting. It is quite interesting that you can almost reverse this list today. Seeing those amazing numbers for the 25th Anniversary you understand why many cars have just stayed parked in collections all those years. If you went in at these figures you will need to take a tremendous loss the moment you sell.
I remember that time. F-cars were going crazy thru the roof with prices. Then anything Italian was getting stupid expensive. I am glad I couldnt afford to be part of the craziness back then. Many did get burned back then
I reached out to the owner of the red/gold wheels anniv bodied S1 turbo in the barn but nothing back. 55k was more than I was going to offer.
Just to interject, As a Countach consumer, one that does not have one yet, and to differentiate between those that have one already, I am totally frustrated with the current market, whats available, and whole process of buying. As many people out here in the market place that have been helpful, this is a complete pain in the ass.
Same car. The body mods bothered me most (89 air scoops, ugh!!!). I thought 55k was a little high, but my thinking (at the time) was I would rather sit on it for a decade than let it sit in the market. My guess is they want something in the 6 figure range.
I feel your pain. I went thru the same deal while shopping for mine. Most cars are represented as beautiful, pristine, excellent etc, etc, etc. You spend lots of time & $$$ to go look, and it is a POS. I think one of the big problems right now is the market is getting artificially inflated by people asking unrealistic prices. Be patient (easy for me to say )
I believe your timing on this purchase is working against you as well as the market is going into the prime time to sell, the early spring. You may find yourself in a better buying position in the late fall on into the winter as I do believe seasonality plays a part in the market.
Hey! You're not alone....we are all going through it with you Jason, 100% understand and agree. However, you've pased on, have gotten shafted, and got pushed away on cars I wished you had gotten. I would say at this point getting something that needs 10-20k in work would still be well worth it. You can always revisit one or 2 of those cars. Like the one Wil was going to PPI. Go with $, take car and deal with what you got after.
Great advice Peter. I was in the same situation. I wanted a truly pristine original example like the other vehicles I have. I felt that if the Countach was going to be the flagship of my collection, then its condition should reflect that. After a few months of looking, I realized that car was not available. So I did like Peter recommends. I bought the nicest one that was available at the time, and correct the items that I was not happy with. I have no regrets what so ever and really enjoy the car
That advice is gold, and will forever stand you in good stead. With one proviso. It must be market-correct, within reason. Paying a little extra is ok as the market will generally catch up with a good car.