the F40 is undervalued | Page 32 | FerrariChat

the F40 is undervalued

Discussion in '288GTO/F40/F50/Enzo/LaFerrari/F80' started by ross, Jun 1, 2019.

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  1. cnpapa24

    cnpapa24 F1 Rookie

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    #776 cnpapa24, Feb 15, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 15, 2023
    What I think is happening with the graph is the Pilot LM car is skewing what would otherwise be a steady increase of values from 2019 through 2021. It’s a small data sampling through those years so the particular cars would have a lot to do with the data points and may not be indicative of the market as a whole.

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  2. christiann

    christiann Karting

    Nov 29, 2006
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    Just to go down another rabbit hole. Any LM available and what is pricing? Thanks
     
  3. Prancing 12

    Prancing 12 F1 Rookie
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    There have been a surprising number of LMs trade hands recently, considering there were only 19 made.

    74045 was an outlier at the time, price-wise, due to its race history.

    Road F40s (and F50s) have generally outperformed LMs as a percentage of value, since 74045 sold.
     
  4. ross

    ross Three Time F1 World Champ
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    you are correct. without that data point, there would be a steady upward curve - which is what most watchers are feeling anyway. ..
     
  5. joe sackey

    joe sackey Five Time F1 World Champ
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    The race car F40 LM doesn't belong with road cars and was listed by classic.com amongst road car data because they don't have a dedicated section for LMs.

    Looking beyond the line of the graph and checking individual results, speaking of Eu F40s, the market was up-and-down from late 2018 onwards till around 2021 where it continues upwards, for example, in late 2018 F40 80161 sold for $1,545,000 (to our client), then in early 2019 F40 91464 sold for $1,017,000, in late 2019 F40 80747 sold for $1,015,956, in early 2020 F40 84662 sold for $1,220,674, in mid 2020 F40 84997 sold for $1,098,024, in mid 2021 F40 84104 sold for $1,228,005 etc. My Private Treaty data reflects a similar pattern, overall upwards of course.
     
  6. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    How many of the 211 usa cars do we think are less than 3 owner cars and how many are more than 10?
     
  7. ross

    ross Three Time F1 World Champ
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  8. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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  9. ross

    ross Three Time F1 World Champ
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    dubai time is not necessarily a kiss of death, but it was just there in static display so will 'need recommissioning' i think is the phrase used.
     
  10. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    For me it wld be an immediate deal breaker. And owned by bill Cosby too? Gross.
     
  11. joe sackey

    joe sackey Five Time F1 World Champ
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    You're assuming it hasn't been serviced since, or for that matter just because an F40 has low mileage it needs recommissioning?

    I mentioned the Bill Cosby ownership a few pages ago https://www.ferrarichat.com/forum/posts/148993822/ and pointed out that it should have no effect on the result according to msn who assures us here https://www.ferrarichat.com/forum/posts/148984434/ that ownership provenance is irrelevant.
     
  12. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    Ownership history is top of the list for me
     
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  13. joe sackey

    joe sackey Five Time F1 World Champ
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    I always thought it was important, but msn says no.

    Seriously though, for me, the rough list of items to consider is:

    - Originality of paint, interior & mechanicals
    - Mileage travelled
    - Matching numbers body/chassis/gearbox/engine
    - Documented maintenance history and records from day one
    - Complete ancillaries to include full set of original books & tools
    - Past usage, road, track etc
    - Current condition, specification and current maintenance status
    - Delivery specification - Prototype, Lexan Sliding Windows, standard Eu F40, USA F40 etc
    - Ownership provenance and number of owners
    - Classiche Certification
    - Previous sales record
     
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  14. JAM1

    JAM1 F1 Veteran
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    For me what’s important is that the car is identical in every way (meaningful or not) to the one I own, or it exceeds market expectations when it sells. Outside of that other cars are all outliers with some issue to explain the shortfall when they sell/don’t.
     
  15. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    this is a good enough list, i put Ownership provenance and number of owners at the top with Documented maintenance history and records from day one at the top, and the rest falls into place nicely.
     
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  16. Marcel Massini

    Marcel Massini Two Time F1 World Champ
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    86620 was owned from December 1992 to August 2012 by Cosby, who did a total of 221 miles during those 20 years.
    The car was later serviced and maintained by Ferrari of Atlanta. It is red book Classiche certified.

    Marcel Massini
     
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  17. joe sackey

    joe sackey Five Time F1 World Champ
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    Serviced & sprinkled with Maranello Holy Water and thus all it's sins are forgiven.
     
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  18. JTSE30

    JTSE30 F1 Rookie

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  19. roma1280

    roma1280 F1 Rookie
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    This aged well …
     
  20. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    Not tulips i guess?
     
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  21. FerrfanFL

    FerrfanFL Formula 3
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    the one on PCAR thi week ended, RNM, with a buy it now of 2.2M. I know nothing about the car, but God i want one so bad....but the prices are getting out of my reach....shiot....and this one was inexpensive compared to the recent sale at over 3M....
     
  22. ttforcefed

    ttforcefed F1 World Champ
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    Very very very rough car
     
  23. ross

    ross Three Time F1 World Champ
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    #798 ross, Feb 17, 2024
    Last edited: Feb 17, 2024
    well its that time again....

    speciale at $500k
    F50 at $5 mil
    288gto $3.5-4 mil....
    Enzo $4 mil
    etc

    the stack is either overpriced, OR

    the F40 is underpriced again.

    should be 3.50-4 now....
    or everything else needs to drop 30%
    just my opinion.
     
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  24. msn

    msn Formula Junior

    Jan 22, 2011
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    It would be nice to see apples and apples, not oranges and apples when quoted prices, the F40 is in my view is correct at the moment when like for like examples are considered together.
    A recent example would be Ian Barkaway's F40, it ticked every box... one owner.... one of the most detailed service histories on any super car I have seen...
    but the mileage was high.. around 40K.. Price 1.9 USD...
    I agree the 3-4 market for Super prime...but that is the same for all the super cars... just be a bit more reflective in this as there are a lot of people that read this.
     
  25. ross

    ross Three Time F1 World Champ
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    my comment was not directed at the price differentials between f40's of different quality and mileage - that is the subject of an entirely different thread.
    what i was trying to say in this thread - now and when i started it 5 years ago - is that compared to other cars that are considered collectible, the F40 was, and is again, not at the right level, OR everything else is overpriced.
    i actually think its the latter - everything has gone berserk again....people paying crazy numbers for run of the mill lambos, the speciale at a half a mil (eventho i love that car), f50's over 5 mil, 288's close behind...those are just crazy numbers.... but if one does not think those are crazy, then the f40 is undervalued, and needs to be bumped up on average to range between $3 and $4 mil depending on quality.
    i would prefer that everything comes back down so i dont have to spend so much on insurance. but that depends on the whole world agreeing to stop bidding over the top for everything else...
     
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